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2014-06 

Dilemmas in forward basing: understanding 
the impact of the American military presence 
in Bahrain 


LaRow, Michael W. 

Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School 


http://hdl.handle.net/10945/42668 


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NAVAL 

POSTGRADUATE 

SCHOOL 

MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA 


THESIS 


DILEMMAS IN FORWARD BASING: UNDERSTANDING 

THE IMPACT OF THE AMERICAN MILITARY 


PRESENCE IN BAHRAIN 


by 


Michael W. LaRow 


June 2014 

Thesis Advisor: 

James A. Russell 

Second Reader: 

Anne M. Baylouny 


Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 




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2. REPORT DATE 

June 2014 


6. AUTHOR(S) Michael W. LaRow 


11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy 
or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. IRB Protocol number_N/A_. 


13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) 

The U.S. military operates and maintains a vast forward basing infrastructure in countries throughout the world. 
Periodically, these bases become the central focus of either protest or violence from the citizens of the host nation. 
Questions have recently surfaced as to whether NAVCENT headquarters in Bahrain is in danger of experiencing 
protest or violence following the Arab Spring. 

This thesis seeks to understand the causes of protest and violence toward U.S. personnel stationed overseas. To 
answer this question, this thesis uses case studies from base conflicts in Okinawa, Germany, and Turkey to analyze 
the friction points between the host nation citizens and the U.S. military base. 

This thesis finds that the main friction points for conflict fall into three categories: economic, military, and social. 
The most common friction point in the three case studies is the impact of U.S. military operations on the host nation, 
with the exception of Bahrain. Bahrain is unique because military operations have not caused resentment to date 
within the current government or the opposition movement. Despite this lack of conflict, NAVCENT’s position in 
Bahrain is by no means secure, since economic causes, present in the Bahrain case, have caused the most vociferous 
protests when present. 


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Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 


20. LIMITATION OF 
ABSTRACT 


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85 


14. SUBJECT TERMS Arab Spring, Bahrain, Demonstrations, Germany, Peace Movement, Protest, 
Forward Basing, Okinawa, Turkey, Friction Points 


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Naval Postgraduate School 
Monterey, CA 93943-5000 

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4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 

DILEMMAS IN FORWARD BASING: UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF 
THE AMERICAN MILITARY PRESENCE IN BAHRAIN 


3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED 

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Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 


DILEMMAS IN FORWARD BASING: UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF 
THE AMERICAN MILITARY PRESENCE IN BAHRAIN 


Michael W. LaRow 

Lieutenant Commander, United States Navy 
B.A., Colorado State University, 2002 


Submitted in partial fulfillment of the 
requirements for the degree of 


MASTER OF ARTS IN SECURITY STUDIES 
(MIDDLE EAST, SOUTH ASIA, SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA) 

from the 


NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL 
June 2014 


Author: Michael W. LaRow 


Approved by: James A. Russell 

Thesis Advisor 


Anne M. Baylouny 
Second Reader 


Mohammed M. Hafez 

Chair, Department of National Security Affairs 



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IV 



ABSTRACT 


The U.S. military operates and maintains a vast forward basing infrastructure in countries 
throughout the world. Periodically, these bases become the central focus of either protest 
or violence from the citizens of the host nation. Questions have recently surfaced as to 
whether NAVCENT headquarters in Bahrain is in danger of experiencing protest or 
violence following the Arab Spring. 

This thesis seeks to understand the causes of protest and violence toward U.S. 
personnel stationed overseas. To answer this question, this thesis uses case studies from 
base conflicts in Okinawa, Germany, and Turkey to analyze the friction points between 
the host nation citizens and the U.S. military base. 

This thesis finds that the main friction points for conflict fall into three categories: 
economic, military, and social. The most common friction point in the three case studies 
is the impact of U.S. military operations on the host nation, with the exception of 
Bahrain. Bahrain is unique because military operations have not caused resentment to 
date within the current government or the opposition movement. Despite this lack of 
conflict, NAVCENT’s position in Bahrain is by no means secure, since economic causes, 
present in the Bahrain case, have caused the most vociferous protests when present. 


v 



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vi 



TABLE OF CONTENTS 


I. INTRODUCTION.1 

A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION.1 

B. BACKGROUND.1 

C. IMPORTANCE.2 

D. PROBLEMS AND HYPOTHESES.5 

E. DEFINITIONS.6 

F. LITERATURE REVIEW.6 

G. METHODS AND SOURCES.13 

II. OKINAWA.15 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS.15 

B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS.20 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS.22 

D. CONCLUSION.24 

III. GERMANY.27 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS.27 

B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS.28 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS.35 

D. CONCLUSION.35 

IV. TURKEY.37 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS.38 

B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS.38 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS.45 

D. CONCLUSION.45 

V. BAHRAIN.47 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS.47 

B. MILITARY FICTION POINTS.50 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS.52 

D. CONCLUSION.59 

VI. CONCLUSION.61 

A. FINDINGS.61 

B. LESSONS LEARNED.63 

C. RECOMMENDATIONS.64 

D. IMPLICATIONS.65 

LIST OF REFERENCES.67 

INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST.71 


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LIST OF TABLES 


Table 1. Friction Point Matrix 


61 


IX 




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x 



LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS 


BAPCO 

Bahrain Petroleum Company 

BICI 

Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry 

CENTO 

Central Treaty Organization 

CNU 

Bahrain Committee for National Unity 

GCC 

Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf 

GRI 

Government of the Ryuku Islands 

HLG 

NATO High Level Group 

INF 

Intermediate-range Theater Nuclear Forces 

LDP 

Japanese Liberal Democratic Party 

MARCENT 

Marine Forces Central Command 

NAVCENT 

Naval Forces Central Command 

OEF 

Operation Enduring Freedom 

OIF 

Operation Iraqi Freedom 

PACOM 

Commander of U.S. Pacific Forces 

PRV 

plant replacement value 

RAF 

Red Army Faction 

RZ 

Revolutionare Zelle 

SOFA 

Status of forces agreement 

TLP 

Turkish Labor Party 

USCAR 

U.S. Civilian Administration of the Ryuku Islands 


XI 



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I. 


INTRODUCTION 


A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION 

The purpose of this thesis is to determine the conditions under which citizens 
protest or become violent against American military service members serving at major 
overseas U.S. military installations, and to detennine whether these conditions exist in 
Bahrain. 

B. BACKGROUND 

During the Cold War, the United States developed a vast infrastructure and 
network of military bases on foreign soil in an attempt to use these strategic locations to 
contain and deter the communist threat. Despite the Cold War being over, the U.S. has 
maintained this large overseas military structure in what Chalmers Johnson has given the 
rather controversial label as “America’s Empire.” 1 The exact size of U.S. installations 
and their number of personnel is so large and in some cases so classified that it is difficult 
to ascertain. The official count according to the Department of Defense FY2012 “Base 

Structure Report” is 666 overseas military installations, with 21 of them being what the 

2 

military considers to be “large sites” based on Plant Replacement Value (PRV). 

Over the years, the countries and citizens that play host to these installations have 
filed legitimate complaints concerning effect of the U.S. military on a wide range of 
concerns. People have protested the effect that U.S. troops have on the local economy, 
the conduct and criminal behavior of U.S. personnel, the hazards created by the 
placement and operation of military equipment, as well as violations in national 
sovereignty in the use of the installation in carrying out the foreign policy efforts of the 
U.S. government. These complaints often play out in the political arena between 
diplomats, or the complaints become more public as citizens protest in front of U.S. 

1 Chalmers Johnson, Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire (New York: Henry 
Holt and Company, 2000), 5. 

- U.S. Department of Defense, Base Structure Report : FY 2012, 23. PRV is calculated by estimating 
the cost in terms of today’s construction costs and techniques to replace the buildings and infrastructure. A 
large base would be considered a PRV of $1.75B. 


1 



installations to voice their concerns. In some cases, the protests are enough to force 
policy change by at least hindering the U.S. military’s ability to operate, and at the 
extreme end, these protests can turn violent, causing hann to U.S. military personnel. By 
examining the protests against the presence of U.S. service members in Okinawa, 
Germany and Turkey, we will see what the common friction points are and which ones 
caused the greatest negative reaction or outrage from the citizens of the host nation. 

C. IMPORTANCE 

The United States has bcncfitted from a positive relationship with the ruling al- 
Khalifa family in Bahrain for over the last sixty years. Bahrain is host to the United 
States Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT) headquarters and has signed a 
formal defense pact in 1991 making Bahrain a “major non-NATO ally.” The Sunni al- 
Khalifa family has held non-democratic/authoritarian power on the island kingdom since 
1783, and has ruled over the majority Shia population that currently makes up 60-70% of 
the kingdom’s population. 4 Protests regarding human rights violations and the lack of 
Shia representation in Bahraini government have been in existence as early as the 1920s, 
well before the Arab Spring, but these grievances really came to light and gained 
international attention during at the protests at Pearl Roundabout on February 14, 2011. 5 
Since then, human rights organizations have specifically highlighted alleged systematic 
torture by the Bahraini Security Forces against the Shia protestors. The U.S. State 
Department (DOS) also acknowledged these claims of abuses in a human rights report in 
2011. 6 

Violence on the island has continued since the government crackdown on Shia 
protestors in February 2011. A moderate opposition group called the A1 Wefaq Islamist 
National Party organizes regular occurring protests against the monarchy. In April 2012, 


^U.S. Library of Congress, Congressional Research Service Bahrain: Reform, Security, and U.S. 
Policy, by Kenneth Katzman, CRS Report RL 95-1013 (Washington, DC: Library of Congress, Research 
Service, November 6, 2012), i. 

4 Ibid., 1. 

5 Ibid., 7. 

6 Ibid., 22. 


2 



an improvised explosive device killed seven Sunni members of the national police force. 
Sunni citizens then retaliated by attacking Shia owned businesses. In June 2012, bomb¬ 
making materials were found in several locations around the island, and in November 
2012 five explosions killed two non-Bahrainis. 7 The use of car bombs has become more 
regular in 2014 beginning with the explosion of a car bomb on April 7, 2014 in the 
largely American populated area of Manama during the 2014 Bahrain Formula One 
Grand Prix. 8 While no one was injured in the April 7th incident, two people were killed 
and a third was severely wounded by later car explosion only 12 days later on April 
19th. 9 

While the April 7th Grand Prix attack was not successful, and it is speculated that 
those killed by the April 19th car bomb were killed by their own device, it has started to 
cause some to speculate as to whether or not this level of violence will become the new 
nonn. A1 Wefaq has been silent following these attacks, and has not been active in 
condemning nor condoning the violence. These violent events coupled with the silence 
by the moderate opposition leaves many questioning whether the mainstream opposition 
is starting to give way to more violent organizations like the February 14th Youth 
Coalition, which has recently been labeled a terrorist organization by the Bahraini 
government. 10 

The events surrounding the Arab Spring coupled with this recent escalation in 
violence puts the United States is in a difficult position between the Bahraini government 
and the protesting citizens. The U.S. benefits greatly from the island’s strategic physical 
location near the Strait of Hormuz and from the development of the NAVCENT 
headquarters on the island. The U.S. also gains legitimacy throughout the Persian Gulf 
and with other countries in the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf 

7 Ibid., 16. 

8 “Blast Rocks Bahrain During Grand Pri x,” Aljazeera, April 7 2014, 
http://www.aliazeera.com/news/middleeast/2014/Q4/blast-rocks-bahrain-diiring-grand-prix- 

201447675399917.html 

9 “Two killed in Bahrain Car Explosion,” BBC News, April 19, 2014, www.bbc.com/news/world- 
middle-east-27086763 . 

10 Elizabeth Dickinson, “Bahrain’s Disappearing Moderates,” Al -Monitor, April 22, 2014, www.al- 
monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/04/bahrain-violence-opposition-moderates-disapperaing.html . 


3 









(GCC) through a strong political alliance in Bahrain. Bahrain has been a major regional 
ally during some of our recent conflicts in the Persian Gulf. During Operation Desert 
Storm, Bahraini pilots flew strike missions in Iraq and in retaliation; the Iraqi Army fired 
nine scud missiles at the island kingdom. 11 Following the World Trade Center attacks on 
9/11, and in the opening stages of Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF), Bahrain played 
host to thousands of U.S. troops as they moved into the theater and the island became the 
new forward headquarters for Marine Forces Central Command (MARCENT). Bahrain 
also allowed combat missions to be flown from Shaykh Isa Air Base during OEF and 
Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF), and is one of only two Gulf Nations to deploy their own 

13 

forces to Afghanistan. 

Amidst the latest protests and accusations of human rights violations, the White 
House has not called for the al-Khalifa royalty to step down to opposition like it has in 
other cases during the Arab Spring. This is due in large part because the use of force by 
the al-Khlaifa regime appears to be less drastic than the crackdown tactics used by Assad 
in Syria, Qadhafi in Libya, or even Mubarak in Egypt. 14 Despite this appearance of less 
drastic tactics, human rights organizations are critical of the White House’s position and 
accuse the U.S. of turning a blind eye to Bahrain because of its strategic partnership. 15 As 
of yet, the elite Sunni citizens of Bahrain have not criticized the United States for its 
implied suggestions on expanding democracy within the Bahraini government, nor has 
the U.S. been the target of Shia attacks or protest for at least passively supporting the al- 
Khalifa regime. As tensions continue and with little movement in the way of democratic 
change on the island, the potential for conflict between U.S. military personnel and the 
citizens of Bahrain exists. If the U.S. supports the Shia opposition, it loses its critical ally 
in the ruling al-Khalifa family with their strong ties to Saudi Arabia and the U.S. will lose 
an ally in the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (GCC). Conversely, if 

11 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 24. 

David F. Winkler, Amirs, Admirals & Desert Sailors: Bahrain, the U.S. Navy, and the Arabian Gulf 
(Annapolis: Naval Institute Press, 2007), 197. 

15 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 25. 

14 Ibid., 17. 

15 Ibid. 


4 



the U.S. continues to support the ruling Sunni minority, the presence of U.S. personnel 
could become an outlet for Shia frustrations for at least tacitly supporting an oppressive 
regime. 

Problems with forward basing are not new, and past conflicts over the presence of 
the U.S. military and equipment on foreign soil have been seen in Okinawa, Gennany, 
and Turkey. By examining the friction points that caused protests or violence between 
these host nations and the U.S. bases located within their borders, we may be able to 
detennine the potential causes for protest or violence against U.S. personnel living in 
Bahrain. As of yet, the U.S. has not encountered a significant threat or complaint about 
the presence of or our troops in Bahrain, but that does not mean the potential does not 
exist. Identifying the root causes of tensions between the host nation’s citizens U.S. 
military personnel will give commanders insight on how best to deal with both our 
political position and presence in Bahrain. 

D. PROBLEMS AND HYPOTHESES 

There are two hypotheses that can be formulated by conducting a comparison of 
U.S. forward basing experiences in Germany, Okinawa, and Turkey. The first, posits that 
the same triggers for conflict in these three nations also exist in Bahrain. This hypothesis 
would therefore predict that based on these comparisons, we would find that the triggers 
for anti-Americanism are present in Bahrain and that conflict stemming from our military 
presence and foreign policy will happen. The second hypothesis posits that Bahrain is 
somehow unique and in particular that the elites and leaders of the opposition movement 
in Bahrain (primarily A1 Wafeq) are not calling for a violent protest or outrage against the 
United States and their control in keeping the dialogue between the protestors and the 
royal family has kept the opposition movement focused on the Bahraini Government. 
This hypothesis would predict that the key factor in igniting anti-American sentiment in 
Germany, Okinawa and Turkey is the mobilization of the elites toward anti- 
Americanism, and if this is not present in Bahrain Americans would not be at risk to 
hostile acts or protests. The conclusion for the second hypothesis, then, only holds as 


5 



long as those leaders continue to avoid making the American presence the main issue. 
That decision itself could change due to future variables. 

If the evidence supports the second hypothesis, it does not mean that there is 
nothing to be learned from past basing experiences. As the effects of the Arab Spring 
continue to ripple throughout the Middle East, Bahrain could find itself anywhere in a 
broad spectrum of change ranging from regime change as seen in Egypt or Tunisia, to 
what has become a bitter sectarian war such as the situation in Syria. It is best to 
determine the potential causes for conflict now, while the Kingdom of Bahrain seems to 
be at a stalemate, and the day-to-day life of service members remains largely 
uninterrupted. 

E. DEFINITIONS 

Due to the complex nature of social movements, and the fact that they rarely have 
single variable causes, this thesis will attempt to divide the causes into three major 
friction points. The first category contains the economic consequences of having U.S. 
personnel operating in another country, and will be labeled Economic friction points. 
Examples of economic friction points may include the purchase, rent or seizure of land 
for use by the American military, or possibly what role the base plays in local economy 
by hiring local laborers, or purchasing goods and services from the local economy. The 
second friction point will be labeled Military. Examples of military friction points include 
the effect the base and U.S. military operations have on national security and sovereignty 
by having the military conduct operations from national territory. The third friction point 
will be labeled Social. This friction point will contain the consequences and cultural 
disputes of having U.S. service members live among a foreign population. Examples of 
social friction points include crimes committed by U.S. service members against citizens 
of the local community as well as conflicts that originate from cultural misunderstandings 
or possibly outright racism. 

F. LITERATURE REVIEW 

Much of what has been written concerning the impacts of forward basing seems 

to follow the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union. During the Cold War, the 

6 



existence of U.S. bases on foreign soil served to counter the Soviet threat, but now that 
the war has ended, the reasons for maintaining these bases has been called into question, 
and therefore this where much of the current argument begins. Chalmers Johnson and 
many others who write on this topic often use the word “empire” with all intended 
negative connotations to describe our post-Cold War military structure. Much of this 
literature examines the political effects of forward basing while some examine the 
broader social implications of service personnel being deployed overseas. 

In the case of Chalmers Johnson’s book Blow back, there are both political and 
social consequences. Johnson posits that it is time for America to examine its need for 
forward deployed bases now that the Cold War has ended. Johnson believes the U.S. 
government is now doing whatever it can within its power to maintain this vast structure 
without the Cold War justifications, and this is problematic. Johnson states that without a 
communist threat, a “balance sheet” of grievances against the U.S. military will begin as 
crimes are committed and accidents occur, and this will lead to resentment against all 
Americans. 16 Johnson also fears that the maintenance of our military structure overseas is 
creating a scenario of unintended social and political consequences that will plague the 
United States for years to come due to its financial and political cost. 

Johnson, Alexander Cooley, and David Steinberg all use Okinawa as the classic 
case and point for the problems caused by basing troops on foreign soil. Okinawa was the 
scene of a hard-fought battle between the U.S. and Japan in World War II. By the close of 
fighting, an estimated 14,000 Americans and 234,000 Japanese soldiers and civilians 
were killed before Japan surrendered the island following the horrible three month long 
campaign. 17 From 1945 to 1972 the island was governed by the U.S. military and was 
used as a staging point to fight war in Vietnam. By the 1960s, the U.S. had built more 
than 100 bases on the island by taking lands from Okinawan citizens who had no rights or 
legal protections after Japan’s surrender. By the end of the 1960s, complaints about 
brothels, the placement of nerve agents and B-52 bombers as well as bars and crimes 


16 Johnson, Blowback, 5. 

17 Johnson, Blowback, 30. 


7 



related to troops on the island reached created a tense environment and the U.S. returned 

18 

governing of the island to its citizens. 

By the 1990s, events on the island erupted when three servicemen raped and 
killed a 12-year-old schoolgirl. As details of the crime were released, 85,000 citizens took 
to the streets to demand the removal of the all forces and bases on the island. 19 Okinawa’s 
governor Ota Masahide used the rape case as a cause to announce the renewal of private 
land leases of military installations. This move was ultimately put down by the Japanese 
court system in 1996, and Ota gave up his campaign after the Japanese prime minister 
promised a substantial monetary package for Okinawa’s development along with a 
promise to help reduce the presence of U.S. troops and to relocate them to other parts of 
the island where they would not be as intrusive." The Japanese government also created 
a special ambassador to Okinawa to help smooth American and Okinawan relations. The 
U.S. military created programs and regulations to curb drinking off base and established 
community outreach programs to help soften the image of U.S. troops. The situation 
remains tentative to this day as the U.S. looks to reposition forces and equipment on the 
island of Guam and has begun forward basing Marines in Australia. 

Much of the literature on the situation in Germany in the late 1970s to 1980s has 
less to do with the actions of U.S. service members and is focused specifically on the 
placement of nuclear weapons on German soil under NATO’s intermediate-range theater 
nuclear forces (INF). Jeffrey Boutwell describes how the INF proved to be an explosive 
topic across many of West Gennany’s social movements, because the issue touched 
many levels of society. The German idea of Ostpolitik began to gain a large audience as 
citizens began to feel the need to begin rapprochement with East Germany rather dig the 
trenches of the Cold War even deeper. Gennan citizens found themselves at the mercy of 


18 Ibid., 50 

19 Brad Glosserman, “Anti-Americanism in Japan” in Korean Attitudes toward the United States: 
Changing Attitudes, ed. David I. Steinberg (New York: ME Sharpe, 2005), 38. 

20 Alexander Cooley, Base Politics: Democracy, Change, and the U.S. Military Overseas (Ithaca: 
Cornell University Press, 2008) 152. 

21 Ibid., 154. 


8 



22 

NATO, the U.S., and the USSR creating a volatile environment. Boutwell sees the INF 
issue as a merging two German sentiments, “One strand is German uneasiness with 
American security policy, and the other uneasiness is with American society in general as 
a model to be emulated.” The result was an outpouring of hundreds of thousands of 
people who took to the streets calling for disarmament and the withdrawal of U.S. 

24 

personnel and bases. 

While Boutwell does not delve into specific acts against Americans, J.F. Pilat 
makes note of targeted terrorism at the United States. He explains that German hostilities 
towards the presence of American troops existed well before the INF debate but they 
grew in audacity and violence under the antinuclear movement. As the rise of the 
antinuclear protests began to gain popularity, far right German terrorist groups began to 
exploit this momentum. In 1981, the first terrorist attacks occurred in August with a 
bombing at Ramstein Air Force Base that injured 20 people including military and 
civilian personnel. In September, the Commanding General of the U.S. Army in Europe 
and his wife were targeted when his armored Mercedes was attacked by RPG fire and 
small arms fire. These attacks seemed to die down as the peace movement favored 
nonviolent protest, and as President Regan and the Soviet General Secretary Mi kh ail 
Gorbachev went to the negotiating table to sign the INF Treaty in 1987 balancing the size 
of the U.S. and USSR arsenals. 26 

In the case of Turkey, the literature tends to lean more towards Anti-Americanism 
as a whole rather than a debate about the presence of U.S. troops, but the root of much of 
this sentiment seems to point to the use of Turkey by the United States as a staging point 
for projecting power in the Middle East. In his paper, “Friends No More? The Rise of 

22 Jeffrey Boutwell, “Politics and the Peace Movement in West Germany,” International Security 7, 
no. 4 (1983), 73, http://www.istore.org/stable/2626732 . 

23 Ibid., 79. 

Boutwell, “Politics and the Peace Movement,” 72. 

23 J.F. Pilat, “European Terrorism and the Euromissies,” Terrorism 7, no 1, (1984), 66, 
http://dx.doi.org/10.lQ8Q/105761Q8408435560 . 

2 ^ U.S. Department of State, “Treaty Between The United States Of America And The Union Of 
Soviet Socialist Republics On The Elimination Of Their Intermediate-Range And Shorter-Range Missiles 
(INF Treaty),” http://www.state.gOv/t/avc/trty/102360.htm . 


9 






Anti-American Nationalism in Turkey,” Ioannis N. Grigoriadis notes that anti- 
Americanism in Turkey is unlike the liberal, social, or radical type, seen in other regions; 
instead it takes on a sovereign-national flavor. Nur Bilge Criss agrees with this 
sentiment and believes that it stems from the notion that Turkey is the heir to the Ottoman 

9R 

Empire with a long tradition in statehood. 

Following Turkey’s entry into NATO, it allowed its territory to be used in defense 
of communist powers and saw America as an extension of NATO and therefore allowed 
the U.S. broad access to its territory. Issues over sovereignty began in the 1960s 
following the forcible grounding of a U2 spy plane that taken off from the American Air 
Force base in Incirlik. Turkey denied knowledge and responsibility for the flight, but the 
Soviet Union held Turkey accountable as third party to U.S. spying. Following another 
incident in which a spy plane crashed into the Black Sea, the Turkish government began 
to exercise more control over U.S. installations, attempting to limit U.S. actions to only 
NATO operations. 29 

By the late 1960s, Turkish politics became severely divided and the left leaning 
Turkish Fabor Party (TFP) began to speak out against U.S. bases on the basis of 
sovereignty. During an appearance at a Central Treaty Organization meeting, the U.S. 
Secretary of State Dean Rusk was greeted by a protest from faculty from Ankara 
University and a leftist trade union demonstrating on behalf of Turkish citizens employed 
on the U.S. bases. This is an important moment in U.S.-Turkey relations because it is the 
first time anti-American slogans were shouted on the streets. Another incident in 1968 
against U.S. personnel was sparked by a visit of the U.S. Navy’s 6th Fleet. As sailors 
arrived in Istanbul, they were met by protesting students and some sailors were thrown 
into the Bosporus. This is another important event because in the riot that ensued a 
student was killed by Turkish security forces, sparking a deep divide between leftist who 

22 Ioannis N. Grigoriadis, “Friends No More? The Rise in Anti-American Nationalism in Turkey, 
Middle East Journal 64, no. 1 (2010): 51, JSTOR (10.3751/64.1.13). 

28 Nur Bilge Criss, “A Short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” The 
Journal of American History, 89, no. 2, (2002), 472, http://www.istor.org/stable/3092168 . 

29 Ibid., 474. 

30 Ibid., 477. 


10 




-J 1 

felt Turkey was ready for revolution and the right attempting to maintain control. U.S. 
concerns grew larger by 1969 andl970 when the left attacked a U.S. ambassador’s car 
and in a separate incident kidnapped U.S. personnel. The U.S. began to feel these attacks 
were the exception not the rule in Turkey, but recognized these actions had considerable 
influence on students and the press. Anti-American sentiments were exacerbated in 
1974 when the U.S. established an embargo on Turkey due to its conflict and intervention 
in Cyprus. Turkey again felt this was an affront on its sovereignty and responded by 
closing all American installations/ 

The latest installment of conflict over U.S. personnel and Turkish sovereignty 
came in 2003 when President Bush asked to use Turkey as a point to invade Iraq. Turkey 
objected fearing retaliation from Iraqi Kurds, and the drain on the economy caused by the 
flood of refugees. 34 The result of not allowing the U.S. to attack Iraq from Turkish soil is 
lack of trust between the two nations. Turkish media about the war highlights this lack of 
trust in its anti-American rhetoric comparing President Bush to Hitler, or displaying 
fictionalized events of gum chewing soldiers shooting Iraqis at a wedding in a popular 

• 35 

movie. 

These events in Turkey highlight a growing lack of trust and understanding where 
Turkey’s sovereignty is concerned. Despite all these negative feelings toward American 
violations to policy, it is important to note that Turkey remains a strong ally as Incirlik is 
used to carry out NATO and U.S. policies in Iraq and Afghanistan. The base serves as a 
cargo hub and refueling point for flights going to Afghanistan, and also houses a large 
store of nuclear weapons. Turkey presents a case where tensions seem to be at least 


31 Ibid. 

33 Aylin Guney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” Middle Eastern Studies 44, no.3, 
21 (2008), 475, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00263200802Q21632 . 

33 Ibid. 

34 Ibid., 477. 

35 Ibid., 482. 

3 6 U.S. Library of Congress, Congressional Research Service, Turkey: Selected Foreign Policy Issues 
and U.S. Views, by Carol Migdalovitz, CRS Report RL34642 (Washington, DC: Office of Congressional 
Information and Publishing, November 28, 2101), 50. 


11 




warming for the moment, but have proven political outrage over U.S. policy can result in 
violence and hostilities toward U.S. personnel. 

The literature concerning the American presence in Bahrain tends to examine the 
recent events of the Arab Spring in 2011 as well as the close relationship between Saudi 
Arabia and Bahrain as evidenced by Saudi Arabia’s assistance in the suppressing the 
rebellion in Bahrain. U.S. Navy Commander Richard McDaniel perhaps sums up the 
Saudi-Bahrain relationship by saying “Saudi Arabia will never allow Bahrain to fall as 

'in 

long as Saudi Arabia remains stable.” Despite having a strong ally across the causeway 
that connects Bahrain to mainland Saudi Arabia, the odds of Bahrain remaining stable 
seem less likely. The island’s population is approximately 65% Shia with a 35% Sunni 
minority. 38 The third tier in Bahraini society is the ruling al-Khalifa family from the 
Sunni sect. Unemployed Shia youth make up a large portion of the protestors. Shia are 
faced with higher unemployment, and see the Sunni lead government as slow in creating 
democratic reform and adherence to the recommendations made by the Bahraini 
Independent Commission of Inquiry, Harsh crackdowns on Shia protestors only seems to 
exacerbate the situation. 39 

Given the tensions and civil unrest, the U.S. could find itself in a position where 
its continual support for the Al-Khalifa family could make the U.S. presence politically 
unpopular. If the U.S. continues to do nothing or act slowly, the Shia uprising may 
eventually find the U.S. government act as an enabler in any violent responses to protest 
by the authorities. In this situation, the United States may need to consider moving the 
NAVCENT headquarters or change its position on the island. 40 

Further examination is needed to determine whether or not any aspects of the 
current situation in Bahrain reflect any of the previous experiences in Okinawa, 
Gennany, or Turkey. We can already see some similarities between the economic, 

3 ^ Richard McDaniel, “No Plan B: U.S. Strategic Access in the Middle East and the Question of 
Bahrain,” Center for 21 st Century Security and Intelligence, Policy Paper (2013) 7. 

38 Ibid., 8. 

39 Ibid., 8. 

40 Ibid., 11. 


12 



military, and social conditions in all of these countries. As of yet there have been no 
outward protests or hostilities against American personnel in Bahrain. This thesis will 
attempt to see what causes problems at U.S. foreign bases, and will examine the current 
situation in Bahrain to see if any similarities exist, or determine if Bahrain is somehow 
unique. In any case, this trip around the globe in the perils of U.S. basing is worth a 
closer look as the situation in Bahrain continues to develop. 

G. METHODS AND SOURCES 

I will use a comparative study approach, comparing the problems in American 
basing in Okinawa, Germany, and Turkey to see if they yield any similarities to the 
situation in Bahrain following the Arab Spring. As of yet, there has not been an 
outpouring of anti-American sentiment or significant attacks on US personnel, but I 
would like to see if the potential exists, and possibly identify any social or economic 
markers the US should look for to aid in making future decisions regarding NAVCENT 
and its personnel. 

I will use a variety of sources to include scholarly journals, policy papers, 
newspaper articles as well as the Report from the Bahrain Independent Commission of 
Inquiry (BICI) presented in November 2011. I will also use books that examine the 
history American overseas basing to help gain a general understanding of our basing 
structure and experience 


13 



THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 


14 



II. OKINAWA 


An examination of DOD and U.S. activities on Okinawa following WWII will 
show that there is direct link between a significant anti-base movement and the 
previously defined economic, military, and social friction points. In economic terms, the 
primary point of contention between the U.S. and Okinawan citizen’s is rooted in how the 
U.S. acquired a significant base structure that today takes up 20% of Okinawa’s landmass 
of only 454 square miles. 41 Military friction points result from a wide range of military 
activity which ranges from the carrying out of combat missions over North Vietnam in 
the 1960s to the nuisances and environmental hazards created by the day to day 
operations and training of the armed forces. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, a series of 
crises sparked social activism and the largest anti-base protests over issues ranging from 
crime committed by U.S. service members to the impacts of military activity on the 
environment. Okinawa is an excellent case study in base politics, because each one of 
these friction points sparked waves of protests with various sizes at different periods. 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS 

Economic problems between the U.S. military and the citizens of Okinawa are 
centered on the seizure of land for use by the U.S. military. How the U.S. acquired the 
land dates back to the conclusion of World War II and the details of the peace agreement 
made with the Japanese. The conflict over the land began immediately following the war 
and continues to this day. Of all the friction points examined, the economic effect of 
obtaining land for use by the U.S. is the longest running and perhaps the most volatile 
friction point being studied. Okinawa was an independent island kingdom separate from 
Japan until the later 19th century when it became integrated into Japan as a province. The 
island is perhaps best known for the battle that took place there during World War II from 
April to June 1945. This was the scene of one of the last and possibly one of the bloodiest 
battles in the Pacific Theater in World War II. The three-month campaign claimed the 


Kent E. Calder, Embattled Garrisons: Comparative Base Politics and American Globalism 
(Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2007), 166. 


15 



lives of over 14,000 American servicemen and 234,000 Japanese soldiers and civilians 42 
The toll exacted on the civilian population was so costly, that nearly one-third of the 
island’s inhabitants were either killed in the fighting, or were killed by the hands of the 
Japanese by various methods including forced suicide. 4 ’ To put the human cost into 
perspective, the fighting in Okinawa exacted a similar death toll to that of the atomic 
bombs being used in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. 44 While much of this history is common 
knowledge to the average American or serviceman, the island’s crucial role in the 
conflicts that follow, and the island’s status as a pseudo American military colony are 
probably lesser known. 

The American military occupied both Okinawa and mainland Japan from 1945 
until 1952 when the Japanese-American Security Treaty was signed. Under the 
conditions of the treaty, the Japanese mainland was able to regain its sovereignty, but 
Article III of the treaty left Okinawa in a controversial status. Okinawa was to remain in a 
possession of Japan, but the island would be under the administration of the United 
States, military “with no guarantees of reversion until the security situation in East Asia 
allowed it.” 45 Under a concept known as residual sovereignty, the U.S. military would 
establish the U.S. Civilian Administration of the Ryukyu Islands (USCAR) and a parallel 
government called the Government of the Ryukyu Islands (GRI) that would fonn the 
executive, parliament, and judicial system for the indigenous people. The USCAR 
appointed the governor of the GRI until 1968, and had the power to veto all executive 
orders and judicial decisions “subject to the requirements of military security.” 46 This 
meant that the American military could act similarly to a colonial power in the centuries 
prior, and they began by taking land from the Okinawan people for military use. 

Right away, land seizures by the American military generated social protest as 
farmers and landowners were evicted from their homes. According to the testimony of 

42 Johnson, Blowback, 38. 

43 Brad Glosserman, “ Anti-Americanism in Japan, ” 43. 

44 Kent E. Calder, Embattled Garrisons : 166. 

43 Cooley, Base Politics, 145. 

46 Ibid. 


16 



Okinawan Governor Ota Masahide in 1995, immediately following the battle on 
Okinawa, the U.S. military confined indigenous survivors into camps and began to 
enclose privately owned lands for military installations. Ota stated, “It was done as if 
drawing lines on a blank map. When residents were allowed to come home from the 
camps, they found their hometowns had disappeared behind barbed wire.” 47 Land was 
seized at gunpoint throughout the 1940s and 1950s. Perhaps the most famous case is the 
land where the Sobe Communications Facility now stands. In 1945, the farmer owning 
the land was shot to death while he attempted to hold off U.S. troops with a bamboo pole. 
The grandson of the farmer is a famous antiwar landlord named Shoichi Chibana. 

By 1953, approximately 14% of Okinawa’s landmass, much of it fannland was 
acquired through various means of force, by deception or by purchase. Deception is one 
of the least know yet surprising tactics made by the U.S. in acquiring land. In the 1950s, 
U.S. officials promised Okinawan landowners plots of land in Bolivia along with aid and 
assistance in emigrating in exchange for land on the island. Unfortunately, upon arriving 
in Bolivia many found their new jungle land holdings to be unsuitable for fanning and 
the promised aid was never delivered. The new colony located north of Santa Cruz 
referred to, as “Colonia Okinawa” never really developed as many of the settlers 
succumbed to the hazards of their new climate and died of disease or fled to urban areas 
in Bolivia, Brazil, or Peru. 49 Of the 3218 settlers sent to Colonia Okinawa, from the 
1950s to early 1960s only 806 remained by the year 2000. Those who remained in the 
colony have become relatively successful farmers but only after years of hardship. 50 

By 1956, the land debate boiled over when the U.S. developed a new policy for 
paying Okinawan land owners one low lump sum instead of paying an annual rent. On 
June 20, 1956 the announcement of this new low payment policy ignited outrage across 
the island and 160,000 demonstrators took the streets to demonstrate their dissatisfaction 
known. The U.S. government eventually succumbed to the demands of the landowners 

47 Johnson, Blowback, 52. 

48 Cooley, Base Politics, 146. 

49 Johnson, Blowback, 52. 

50 Ibid., 53. 


17 



and agreed to pay annual rents to the individual owners, but it should be noted that by the 
early 1960s an estimated 50,000 landowners were driven out through coercion, or were 
expelled by force accounting for 52,000 acres of the 76,000 acres occupied by the U.S. 51 

The occupation and lease of land continued to be a major issue between the base 
and the Okinawan citizens into the 1960s when activism increased. In 1962, the 
Okinawan legislative body passed a unanimous vote accusing the United States of 
practicing colonial rule despite United Nations (UN) provisions against such policies.^ 
By the 1960s, all political parties on Okinawa generally favored reversion back to 
mainland Japan for governance rather than the American rule established under the 
Japanese-American Security Agreement. While there seemed to be unanimous agreement 
on reverting back to Tokyo for governance, there was a disagreement among Okinawan 
political parties on what should be done with the U.S. military. On the one end of the 
spectrum, the Okinawan Liberal Democratic Party sought out a plan that kept the U.S. 
military presence intact at its current level. Those on the opposite end of the spectrum, 
particularly the Okinawan socialist and communist parties sought a complete withdrawal 
of the U.S. in entirety. Regardless of where Okinawans stood on the base issue, the 
agreement on reversion was strong. 

In 1965, Japanese Prime Minister Sato planned a trip as the first Japanese Prime 
Minister to visit Okinawa since the end of World War II. He hoped this trip would help 
gain national support in his quest for reversion. To a certain degree this was a successful 
visit, as he was seen driven to tears and other emotional displays after being met by large 
crowds of up to 30,000 people and as he toured various sites and World War II 
memorials on the island. 54 The political left was less impressed by Sato’s gesture and 
took the opportunity to voice their opinion against a reversion plan that would allow a 
U.S. military presence. Many leftist organizations including the Reversion Council, the 


51 Cooley, Base Politics, 147. 

52 Ibid. 

Ibid. 

54 Nicholas Evan Sarantakes. Keystone: The American Occupation of Okinawa and U.S.-Japanese 
Relations (College Station: Texas A&M University Press, 2000) 137. 


18 



Okinawan Teachers’ Association, Okinawan Peoples Party, and various labor unions held 
a protest rally at a local high school that drew 10,000 people to the streets. A torch lit 
procession found its way to the hotel where Sato was expected to return in an attempt to 
“grab him and throw him out.” 55 While the crowd gathered, Sato was dining on an 
American base at the Fort Bunker Officers Club where he chose to remain until the 
crowd had died down. While waiting on base, the Prime Minister sent a representative to 
negotiate with the rally’s leaders. Once negotiations and the acceptance of a petition 
began, the crowd diminished to approximately 1000 people. At 2:30 a.m. the Okinawan 
police charged the remaining protestors battling for nearly an hour before the streets were 
cleared. Sato remained in VIP housing on base overnight rather than return to his off base 
hotel. This act of seeking refuge with the Americans did little to gain him favor with the 
left. Despite the protest and the fallout from hiding out on the American base, this visit by 
Sato was seen as a turning point and reversion began to gain legitimacy. 56 

Due in part to his polices on Vietnam, President Nixon preferred to have allies 
take on a larger role in their own defense and security and as an acknowledgement of 
Japan’s regained strength, and Nixon agreed to sign the reversion treaty. 57 James Lampert 
signed the Reversion Treaty on May 15, 1972 on acting on behalf of the Nixon 
administration. In the end, Japan and the U.S. each got what it desired. Under the treaty, 
Okinawa went back to the control of the Japanese government, and the U.S. was allowed 
to keep its bases. The left political actors on Okinawa remained disenfranchised by the 
treaty, because it did not stipulate the reduction or removal the American presence. 
However, the treaty did appeal to those who work on the bases, have regular business 
interests with the base economy, and landowners are still make some profit from the rents 
collected. 58 


55 Ibid., 138. 

56 Ibid. 

57 Sarantakes, Keystone: 192 

58 Ibid., 192. 


19 



B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS 

The conduct of military combat operations in the Vietnam War, and the day-to- 
day use of bases by military aircraft and artillery units on Okinawa caused multiple 
complaints and protests from Okinawan citizens. In the 1960s, Okinawans brought base 
operations to a standstill on two occasions by protesting the use of Okinawa as staging 
point for the bombing North Vietnam. From the 1980s-2000s concerns over 
environmental damage, and noise pollution grew. Also, a large protest following the 
crash of a military helicopter near a populated city caused Tokyo and the U.S. to propose 
building a new base in a remote area of Okinawa as well as moving the U.S. Marines 
located at Futenma to Guam. All of these events have created a culture on Okinawa that 
has grown weary of having to live with the negative effects of the U.S. military 
operations that impact their daily lives. 

The escalation of the Vietnam War in 1965 brought anti-war activism to the 
forefront in Okinawa. Many Japanese and Okinawan citizens sympathized with the North 
Vietnamese given their own experiences with U.S. bombing campaigns on Japanese 
cities in WWII. 59 Prime Minister Sato’s administration in Tokyo voiced concerns that the 
left were gaining support in response to American actions in Vietnam, which would be 
seen as detrimental to both Tokyo and the U.S. Despite these reservations, the mainland 
Japanese government conceded that the U.S. could use Okinawa as per the security 
agreement to bomb North Vietnam, but remained troubled by the unilateral actions made 
by the U.S. 60 Despite being authorized by the security agreement and with at least the 
tacit approval of Tokyo, Okinawa was not used extensively to support combat operations 
over North Vietnam. The bases mostly served as combat support operations focused on 
activities such as supply, communications, and even rest and recreation. 6 'There were a 
few attempts to launch combat missions to Vietnam from Okinawa, but these were met 
with great resistance from Okinawans. 


59 Michael Schaller, Altered States: The United States and Japan Since the Occupation, (New York: 
Oxford University Press, 1997), 190. 

60 Schaller, Altered States, 191. 

61 Sarantakes, Keystone, 142. 


20 



The first attempt by the U.S. Air Force to send B-52 bombers from Okinawa to 
Vietnam was in 1965. The negative response from the Okinawans was overwhelming as 
they mobbed the gates of Kadena Air Force Base in an attempt to stop the operations 
from occurring. The impact of the protest was large enough that it was three-and-a-half 
years before the Air Force bombers made a second campaign to strike to Vietnam from 
Kadena. The second round of bombing only lasted a few weeks as commanders realized 

their missions and the ability for the bases to operate could be halted or even shut down 

62 

by local laborers going on strike over the sorties. 

Jet noise and the day-to-day operations of aircraft flying in and out of Okinawa 
also became a source of contention between the U.S. and Okinawans. In the 1980s, 906 
residents of Kadena and Chatan village filed noise pollution complaints and lawsuits 
from the jet noise created by aircraft operating out of Kadena Air Force Base. Sixteen 
years after the suits were filed, the Japanese Government agreed to pay ¥1,373 million to 
those plaintiffs who were still alive. While this proved to be expensive for Tokyo, the 
U.S. continues to fly even in the late evening hours because Japan is not allowed to 
interfere with base operations under the security treaty. 64 

The American use of depleted uranium rounds in training on Okinawa caused a 
large environmental protest and made headlines in the U.S. and Japan. An estimated 
1,520 depleted uranium shells were fired on Torishima Island from December 1995 to 
January 1996. This was done despite the fact that American policy stated these rounds 
could only be used on designated ranges on the mainland of United States. 65 Fearing 
backlash from Okinawan citizens, the military began a cleanup campaign in March 1996, 
but only 192 of the shells were recovered. This deeply embarrassed the Japanese Prime 
Minister, and the Japanese administration was forced to conduct damage control in the 
media once the news broke. 66 

62 Ibid., 43. 

Johnson, Blowback, 48. 

64 Ibid. 

65 Ibid., 49. 

66 Ibid. 


21 



A 2004 incident surrounding the crash of a Marine helicopter near a local 
university on Okinawa brought about a significant protest over the concerns stemming 
from the hazards of flight operations on the local people. Once it was revealed that the 
crash was the result of human error and improper maintenance, a large crowd of 
approximately 30,000 people gathered to demand the closure of the base in Futenma. 
Tensions over the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) heightened as U.S. military 
officials sealed off the crash site refusing to allow local investigators access under the 
protection of the SOFA agreement. As a result of this round of protests the government in 
Tokyo agreed to relocate 8,000 Marines to Guam by the year 2014, and begin new 
construction for a helicopter base at Cape Henoko. 67 It should be noted that at the time of 
this writing, no movement has been made on new construction or moving the Marines off 

z:o 

Okinawa, and the new date for this transfer to has been adjusted to 2020. 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS 

The issue of rape and crime perpetrated by U.S. personnel on Okinawan citizens 
ignited the largest protest seen since the land purchase protests in the 1950s. 69 By the 
1990s, anti-American sentiment still remained strong in the Okinawan political 
landscape. Crime became highlighted by many of the interest groups with anti-American 
platforms that arose out of the reversion era. These groups gained an additional boost as 
they gained support from international NGOs and local labor unions following a 
particular rape incident in 1995. Adding further fuel to the fire is the lack of cultural 
awareness by the Pacific Fleet Commander, and the negative social impacts of racist 
Americans stationed on Okinawa. 

The brutal gang rape and murder of a twelve-year-old Okinawan schoolgirl by 
three U.S. service members in September 1995 set off a series of protests around the 
island and caused 85,000 Okinawans to go to the streets and call for the removal of U.S. 


67 Cooley, Base Politics, 158. 

68 Gaynor Dumat-Oldolano, “Admiral Gives New Date For Marine Move to Guam,” Marine Corps 
Times, March 7, 2013, http://www.marinecorpstimes.eom/article/20130307/NEWS/303070304/Admiral- 
gives-new-date-Marine-move-Guam . 

66 Glosserman, “ Anti-Americanism in Japan, ” 38. 

22 





70 

bases. This event is significant in size and support, because for the first time, 
Okinawans gained sympathy and support from citizens on mainland Japan and anti-base 
NGOs from other Asian nations. The murder also resulted in the voluntary retirement of 
Admiral Richard C. Macke, the commander of U.S. Pacific Forces (PACOM), after he 
made insensitive comments on how the accused could have just purchased a girl for the 
price of the car they rented. 71 

The two main newspapers on the island that have anti-base historical roots in their 
publications, both ran extensive coverage on the 1995 rape incident. In the two months 
that followed the rape, the Okinawa Times ran 348 stories related to the case and the 
SOFA details that kept the accused from local prosecution. Of the 348 stories only ten 
actually covered the facts of the case while the remainder focused on demands for change 
in the American presence. Initially the story did not get much coverage in mainland 
Japan, but after the story made headlines in the U.S. particularly the Washington Post and 

77 

New York Times mainland sources then wrote 400 stories raising national awareness. 

As previously stated, NGOs also played a major role in the national dialogue 
following the murder case. The Okinawan Women Against Military Violence attended 
United Nations functions where it partnered with similar groups and anti-base NGOs 
from Korea and the Philippines. The women against violence NGO also united multiple 
Okinawan groups who were focusing on single issues to unite in one cause with 
international clout. These now united NGO’s provided support then Governor Ota 
Masahide who ran a campaign to pass a referendum to remove the bases from Okinawa 
in their entirety. 74 

The governor of Okinawa, Ota Masahide was unable to pass an anti-base 
referendum calling for the removal of American personnel by popular vote; despite 
receiving backing from various national and international NGO’s and the media. The 

70 Ibid. 

7 1 Johnson, Blowback, 37. 

7 ^ Cooley, Base Politics, 154. 

73 Ibid., 155. 

74 Ibid., 155. 


23 



referendum was broadly worded leaving it to be all encompassing on basing issues in 
order for it to gain the largest possible appeal in order to challenge the mainland’s 
authority on the basing issue. The referendum failed despite what appeared to be 
overwhelmingly vocal support. Instead of having the expected large turnout of voters, an 
unusually low turnout of only 53% of eligible voters made their way out to vote on the 
ballot. The low turnout is attributed to a no show campaign organized by the Liberal 
Democratic Party (LDP) and other pro-base factions such as private land lords who 
collect rents from the bases, local businessmen, a base workers group, and members of 
the self-defense force. 75 

Ultimately, Governor, Ota was voted out of office and a Tokyo-backed LDP 
candidate Inamine Keichi took the seat in 1998 by running on a campaign that accused 
Ota of placing the anti-base movement before Okinawa’s economy. In the end, Inamine’s 
promises of economic reform combined with incentives from Tokyo proved to be more 
powerful than social concerns in gaining the vote of the young people facing a high 
unemployment rate. 76 The three murderers were charged, tried, and convicted in Japanese 
court. They were dishonorably discharged from the military, and were sent to Japanese 
prison for terms ranging from six-and-a-half years to seven years, based on their 
involvement. 77 

D. CONCLUSION 

After examining anti-Americanism in Okinawa following WWII, we see that this 
sentiment stems from economic, military, and social friction points. Of the three the 
longest and deepest-rooted sentiment involves the economic impacts of land acquisition. 
Conflict began immediately following World War II as farmers defended their lands, and 
carried into the 1950s when people protested over the low lump sum purchases from the 
American government. Anger stemming from acquisition of land and military presence 

75 Ibid., 156. 

76 Ibid., 157. 

77 Michael A. Lev, “3 Gis Convicted In Okinawa Rape Japanese Court Sentences Each To At Least 6 
1/2 Years,” Chicago Tribune, March 7 1996, http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1996-03- 
07/news/9603070150 1 marine-pfc-okinawa-sentence . 


24 





also spilled over into the reversion of Okinawa back to the Japanese government in the 
1960s forcing the visiting Japanese Prime Minister to take refuge on an American 
military base. The economic friction points are likely to continue so long as the American 
presence remains. The vague nature of the security agreement that allows the U.S. to 
operate on the island until the security situation is resolved will keep the U.S. in Okinawa 
so long as the Japanese government and the U.S. remains concerned over an expanding 
China and North Korean nuclear threat. 

Military operations on the base during Vietnam sparked protest twice, causing the 
Air Force to cease operations. Later, in the 1980s-2000s the impact of day-to-day 
routines of military operations and their effects on people and environment will also be a 
source of protest. These activities prompted some of the and smallest protests and 
shortest in duration but also some of the most severe as citizens crowded the main gates 
and a threat of labor strikes nearly brought the base to a standstill. With the current 
security situation in Asia, it will be interesting to see if this sentiment resurfaces or if it 
will remain donnant as a tradeoff for American protection. We will see in later chapters 
that how the U.S. uses its base in theater and what equipment it operates will have a large 
impact in anti-American sentiment in Germany and Turkey. While this friction point 
appears cause the smallest protest in duration in Okinawa, it will be echoed again in other 
regions making this one of the more universal. 

There appears to be an overarching sentiment that citizens should be safe from 
American personnel, and this notion has broader appeal, as it seems to negatively affect 
the lives of the average citizen more so than economics, and military operations. Social 
issues involving crime committed by base personnel particularly the 1995 rape and 
murder caused the largest wave of protest on Okinawa since WWII. The reason for the 
massive turnout and public outrage in the media is largely due to sympathy gained from 
not only mainland Japan but from anti-base NGOs operating in other countries. This 
supports the notion that social friction points can gain a larger appeal than economics and 
military activity. The Okinawan government attempted to harness this issue and its broad 
appeal to citizens in order to unite those opposed to the American presence, but failed to 
pass the base removal referendum once the populace considered the economic impacts. 

25 



Social friction points seem to affect the population at large and gamer greater support 
across boundaries. Crimes committed by American personnel and other acts deemed 
offensive to the social conscience are extremely serious, and should be considered in 
location where American personnel are likely to have a lot of contact with the local 
population. 


26 



III. GERMANY 


West Germany in the 1970s and early 1980s presents us with another example of 
protest against military personnel and bases overseas. Germany is an interesting case 
study in that the economic and social effects of the U.S. military presence played a lesser 
role in creating conflict. Instead, much of the hostilities were a response to U.S. military 
activities and in particular the placement of U.S. Intermediate-range Theater Nuclear 
Forces (INF) missiles on German soil in order to protect NATO. To understand how the 
placement of nuclear weapons could cause such criticism and violence, one must also 
understand that Germany was experiencing political turmoil as a result of being a divided 
country caught between the influences of NATO and the Soviet Union at the height of the 
Cold War. This chapter will examine the German political climate, and how the decision 
to place INF missiles in Germany brought the Peace Movement and the leftist terror 
groups such as the Red Army Faction (RAF) together and focused their efforts on the 
U.S. military. 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS 

There is little evidence to show that the presence of military personnel had a 
negative effect on the German economy. Evidence points to the contrary by showing that 
certain aspects of the peace treaty following WWII allowed for economic prosperity. 
Many attribute economic success to Germany relinquishing control of its security policies 
to the United States. 78 With Germany unable to pursue security policies, it left them with 
cheap defense solutions, which came from the United States, and allowed Germany to 
focus on better integration and economic achievements with the rest of Europe. 79 By the 
time reunification occurred, Germany was established as a democratic federal state that 
was “economically integrated, solidly anchored in the European community, and 
preoccupied with internal and regional problems of reconstruction and development, to 


78 Harms W. Maull, “Germany and Japan: The New Civilian Powers,” Foreign Affairs 69, no. 5 
(1990), 96, http://www.istor.org/stable/200446Q3 . 

79 Ibid. 


27 




which traditional military power has no relevance whatsoever.” 80 That is not to say that 
everything was perfect in Germany, after all, it was a nation divided, but economically 
speaking Germany faired far better than Okinawa following WWII. 

B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS 

NATO’s decision to place INF missiles in Europe was initially thought to be a 
resounding success and a display of NATO solidarity against the Warsaw Pact, but it 
proved to be anything but a success in German domestic politics. A brief look at the INF 
decision will show that the planners and decision makers failed to take into consideration 
the internal politics of Gennany and ignored elite driven social movements and terror 
attacks that already occurring. Anti-nuclear protests were staged in West Germany the 
1950s well before the NATO missile plans surfaced in 1979, and violence against U.S. 
military service members in West Germany certainly existed before this period with 
extremist groups such as the RAF, and the Revolutionare Zelle (RZ) bombing U.S. 
targets in the 1970s. 81 

In February 1978, a High Level Group (HLG) meeting consisting of NATO 
alliance members was held in Los Alamos New Mexico. This was the third of such 

meetings, but this was the most important as it was the first occasion that alliance 

82 

members came to a consensus that a modernization of NATO capabilities was required. 
The exact language stated that NATO needed “an evolutionary upward adjustment” in 
long-range theater nuclear forces with the capability of striking targets in the Soviet 
Union. 83 The request for new technology or upward adjustment was sought to counter 
the placement of Soviet intermediate-range missiles in the European theater. Initially, 
members of the Carter Administration and the DoD were uneasy with the idea of 
enhancing NATO’s capabilities and felt the HLG was getting ahead of itself. The Carter 
administration called for a Presidential Review Memorandum (PRM-38) to determine the 

80 Ibid. 

8 ' J.F. Pilat, “European terrorism and the Euromissiles,” 66. 

83 Raymond L. Garthoff, “The NATO Decision on Theater Nuclear Forces,” Political Science 
Quarterly, 98, no. 2 (1983): 202, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2149415 . 

83 Ibid., 202. 


28 




84 

best course of action. After conducting the review, and after personally traveling to 
Europe to test the international political climate, the Assistant to the President for 
National Security Affairs, Zbigniew Brzezinski, found that the U.S. did not have the 
incentive or the military need for more a more robust nuclear missile requirement for 
NATO, but agreed to proceed so long as the enhancement in capabilities met “European 

85 

political-military concerns.” 

PRM-38 detennined that the best way to enhance long-range capabilities was to 
use ground launch cruise missiles, or sea-based cruise missiles from submarines and war 
ships. The third option was the newly developed intennediate range Pershing II ballistic 
missile. Many NATO countries indicated that they preferred a land-based system to a 
sea-based system because the land-based was “politically more ‘visible’ and 
demonstrative of resolve.” 86 The final decision on whether or not to pursue a new nuclear 
capability on European soil was made at the presidential level in January 1979 when 
President Carter met with French President Valery Giscard d’Estaing, British Prime 
Minister James Callaghan, and German Chancellor Schmidt. Chancellor Schmidt 
accepted the placing of missiles on German soil with two stipulations; first, Gennany 
could not be the only country in continental Europe to have INF in their borders. Second, 
there must be an effort to negotiate arms limitations to respond to West Gennan 
constituents that might oppose missile deployment. In his own memoirs, President 
Carter referred to Schmidt as “contentious” on the issue. Though Carter does not state 
the specifics on why the Gennan Chancellor would be contentious, this thesis would posit 
that this is a reflection of Gennany’s internal political climate. 

In the spring of 1979, the HLG had made its final decision to deploy both ground 
launched cruise missiles and the U.S. Army’s Pershing II missile. The U.S. suggested a 


84 Ibid. 

8 ^ Ibid. 

86 Ibid., 203. 

87 Ibid. 

88 Ibid., 204. 

89 Ibid. 203. 


29 



range between 200-600 missiles total. 90 More than this amount would be deemed too 
aggressive, and less would be considered too weak in terms of maintaining the detente 
with the Soviet Union. 91 Ultimately, the Carter administration authorized 572 missiles in 
order to match the Soviet capabilities and achieve the political goal of displaying alliance 
unity. " In July 1979, package of 108 Pershing II missiles and 464 ground-launched 
cruise missiles was agreed upon and the campaign to gain political approval from all 
NATO countries began. It is at this point that political opposition on the national level 
began to surface. Italy agreed to accept some of the missiles, while the Netherlands and 
Belgium were “contingently prepared to do so but with reservations and political 
uncertainty.” 94 Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev denounced the new missile plan and 
proposed a reduction in Soviet assets in theater if the new NATO missiles did not go 
forward. 91 ’ In a rare move, the Soviets also launched an extensive media campaign in 
Western Europe with high-level officials giving interviews and statements to the western 
press. In these interviews, the Soviet officials claimed that a nuclear balance already 
existed and the deployment of the missiles was not necessary, and was in fact a 
provocation. The Soviet campaign ultimately failed, due in part by a counter campaign 
from the United States, but it did cast doubt in the minds of western public over NATO’s 
motives. 96 Despite waning political support, the U.S. conducted a “concerted campaign to 
ensure a full deployment decision and commitment...coupled with agreement to pursue 

Q7 

the arms control approach.” 

By the summer of 1981, public unrest over the missile deployment began to 
spread across Europe. Under the organization of what was to become known as the Peace 
Movement, an estimated 1 million people participated in demonstrations throughout 


90 

Ibid 

,205. 

91 

Ibid 


92 

Ibid 


93 

Ibid 

,206. 

94 

Ibid 

,207. 

95 

Ibid 

,207. 

96 

Ibid 


97 

Ibid 



30 




QQ 

Europe and in the vicinity of Bonn. The Peace Movement embodied a wide range of 
political ideologies and interests. Members ranged from communists, to religious clergy 
both Catholic and Protestant, pacifists, socialists and social democrats, feminists, extreme 
leftists, West German peace research institutes, and disaffected youth." Once the INF 
plans went forward, these groups became united behind a single cause. Initially the Peace 
Movement lacked the support of political parties in the West German government, but 
once the Green Party got involved in the nuclear arms debate, the Peace Movement 
gained political representation in what became an anti-system party. 100 A petition kn own 
as the Krefeld Appeal was sent to the Gennan Chancellor containing over 1.5 million 
signatures calling for the retraction of the INF missile plan is an example of the Peace 
Movements new found unity and broad base support. 101 

On a political level, the Peace Movement was clearly anti-NATO and anti- 
American, but it is important to note that most members of the Peace Movement also held 
“strong anti-Soviet sentiments.” 102 Both the Peace Movement and the Green Party 
received funding and support from Moscow and East Germany, but on the whole they 
were “no more enamored of Soviet society than they are of American.” 10 ’ Members of 
the movement desired a new security arrangement, but were divided on how the new 
security framework should look. Some sought a new framework that would unite all of 
Europe as a third major power in the Cold War, while others had nationalist goals and 
desired a “demilitarized, neutral, reunited Germany.” 104 In either case, these sentiments 
within the Peace Movement reflected in German Society as a whole. Polls show that 
positive support for the U.S. and its policies fell when President Reagan took office. By 

98 Catherine McArdle Kelleher, “Western Europe: Cycles, Crisis, and the Nuclear Revolution,” 

Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 469, (1983): 94, 
http://www.istor.org/stable/1044538 . 

99 Pilat, “European terrorism and the Euromissiles,” 65. 

* 90 Boutwell, “Politics and the Peace Movement in West Germany,” 81. 

101 Ibid., 80. 

102 Wifred von Bredow, “The Peace Movement in the Federal Republic of Germany: Composition 
and Objectives,” Armed Forces & Society 9, no. 33 (1982): 46, https://afs.sagepub.eom/content/9/l/33 . 

103 Boutwell, “Politics and the Peace Movement in West Germany,” 84. 

104 Ibid., 85. 


31 





1983, “some 61 percent of German respondents believed that the United States, like the 
USSR, was a country intervened in the internal affairs of smaller countries.” 105 

The INF issue also drew the attention of the extremist groups in Germany who 
were already critical of NATO and Europe’s subordination to the U.S. through the 
alliance. The extreme left felt that the U.S. was a global imperialist power that used 
NATO as its military arm. The extreme right used saw the U.S. and NATO presence as 
unnecessary with the declining threat of Soviet invasion. One of the right’s slogans was 
“foreign troops go home.” 106 The left had already been active attacking U.S. personnel in 
the early 1970s well before the HLG’s missile decision in 1979. The RAF had bombed 
the Officers’ Club in Frankfurt and the U.S. Army Europe Headquarters in Heideberg in 
1972. 107 Between the two events, four people were killed and 18 were injured. 106 It 
should be noted, that the RAF did not attack military personnel again until the end of the 
1970s. The Revolutionare Zelle (RZ) and the Bewegung 2 Juni also attacked U.S. targets 
before the INF deal in the mid-1970s. The RZ bombed the U.S. Army’s V. Corps 
headquarters and the Officers’ Club at Rhein/Main Airbase in 1976. In 1978, the RZ 
attacked a U.S. military barracks at Karlstadt. 109 These attacks caused casualties, but they 
were considered sporadic and were “never systematic until the movement opposed the 
INF missiles in the 1980s.” 110 

Seizing the opportunity and momentum created by the Peace Movement, leftist 
extremist organizations like the RAF began taking advantage of the spreading anti- 
NATO and anti-American sentiment by actively recruiting new members to their cause. 
Prior to the INF debate, the RAF’s support and numbers were low following a successful 
West German counterterrorism campaign in the 1970s but the missiles gave the 

165 Harald Mueller and Thomas Risse-Kappen, “Origins of Estrangement: The Peace Movement and 
the Changed image of America in West Germany,” International Security 12, no. 1 (1987): 57 
http://www.istor.org/stable/2538917 . 

106 pii a t 5 “European Terrorism and the Euromissiles,” 64. 

107 Ibid., 65. 

108 Ibid. 

109 Ibid. 

110 Ibid. 


32 




organization new vigor and its leadership an opportunity in seizing the growing tide of 
European and Gennan nationalist tendencies. 111 

The RAF acted on the anti-American and anti-NATO sentiment early on, and in 
June of 1979 the RAF attempted to assassinate General Alexander Haig who was serving 
as the NATO Supreme Allied Commander for Europe. The RAF had planned to detonate 
a bomb on the bridge going to NATO headquarters in Brussels while the General’s car 
passed over it. Fortunately for the General, the bomb detonated after his car had safely 
passed over the bridge and he was uninjured. “ In 1980, the RAF planned to strike 
multiple targets in Gennany where the Peace Movement had its largest support base. 
These targets included Ramstein Air Force Base, and the Hammond Barracks, however 

••113 

these plans were interrupted and never came to fruition. 

In the summer of 1981, the RAF and other terror groups had enough support in 
Germany to launch multiple attacks on NATO personnel and U.S. The first attack was the 
August 31, 1981 bombing at Ramstein Air Base that injured 20 service members and 
civilian workers. A second attack that summer occurred when the RAF attempted to kill 
the Commander in Chief of the U.S. Anny in Europe General Fredrick Kroesen. The 
RAF fired a rocket-propelled grenade (RPG) and fired several shots into the General’s 
annored car while he was traveling with his wife. Again, fortunately for the General the 
RPG detonated on the truck of the car shattering the rear window that only caused minor 
injuries to the General and his wife. The very next day, the leftist terrorist group the 
Revolutionare Zelle (RZ) placed bombs on the train tracks that entered the Rhein-Main 
Air Base in support of demonstrators who were protesting the plans to enlarge runways at 
the airfield. 114 In 1982, other terrorist groups with anti-NATO and anti-American 
leanings including the Schwarzer block and Antifa began targeting the cars of service 
members with arson attacks by placing bombs under the seats. Extreme right groups 
attempted to employ similar tactics and are accredited for targeting cars belonging to U.S. 

111 Ibid., 66. 

112 Ibid. 

113 Ibid. 

114 Ibid., 67. 


33 



personnel in Buzbach, Darmstadt, and Frankfurt. No deaths came as a result of these 
bombs, but one service member was seriously injured. 115 For whatever reason, luck or 
planning, these attacks on military members and NATO targets proved to be largely 
unsuccessful, and with the exception of the attack on the generals, they were not very 
spectacular. Even though they were unsuccessful, the violence certainly did not sit well 
with the leadership of the Peace Movement. 

The Peace Movement became concerned at the violence being conducted by 

members acting on the periphery on the movement following the RPG attack on General 

Kroesen. 116 The more moderate Peace Movement members realized these anti-NATO 

and anti-American attacks would create a security situation that would prohibit them 

from voicing the peaceful message and using peaceful methods. 117 The Peace Movement 

leadership felt compelled to set the proper tone by staging demonstrations that were 

largely passive reflecting the notions of the movement’s mainstream members. Despite 

security apprehensions by European governments, a large-scale peace protest was 

planned on the weekend of Easter Sunday 1983. These demonstrations were carried out 

in a more “carnival atmosphere, with a profusion of music, flowers, and balloons.” 119 The 

only instances of hostilities were minor instances of tear gas being used to disperse 

protestors. On Good Friday, hundreds of protestors in Neu-Ulm Bavaria blocked the road 

to the U.S. Army’s Wiley Barracks. German police responded with tear gas and dogs to 

120 

disperse the crowd. In the end, only two people were arrested and the dogs injured two. 

The INF missiles were eventually deployed to Europe and by the mid-1980s the 

121 

Peace Movement had lost its momentum. ~ The missiles were what gave the Peace 
Movement its large moderate support base and, once the missiles were deployed the 


115 

Ibid 


116 

Ibid 

OO 

VO 

117 

Ibid 


118 

Ibid 

,69. 

119 

Ibid 


120 

Ibid 


121 

Ibid 

70. 


34 




122 

incentive for moderates to maintain the protest was lost. " Moreover, the dual track plans 
to deploy the missiles and open talks with the Soviet Union over arms control appeared to 
be working. One of the Peace Movement’s last major appearances occurred when 
President Regan and then General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev met in Reykjavik in 
1986. The Peace Movement organized a march consisting of 150,000 Germans to 
demand the removal of all intermediate-range missiles from Europe, but this would be 
one of their last major protests as talks between the U.S. and the Soviet Union 

123 

continued. 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS 

There was certainly a social aspect to the INF debate with both the Peace 
Movement and the radical fringes entering fray, but it is important to keep in mind that 
these movements gained support from a reaction to U.S. military and NATO security 
policy. In Germany, we do not see the level of disregard or racism that was seen in 
Okinawa. The U.S. Navy’s PACOM Commander’s comments regarding the purchase of 
girl in Okinawa is indicative of the social attitudes that caused so much social upheaval 
on Okinawa. Racism and lack up cultural understanding do not seem to play as 
significant a role in Gennany. 

D. CONCLUSION 

The cases of Okinawa and West Germany are similar in that the activity of the 
U.S. military brought about a series of protests that united a broad spectrum of interests 
groups and won the support of moderates. The placement of U.S. military equipment and 
how it was used to affect policy brought out large numbers to protest in both countries. 
The major differing factors between these two case studies is that the duration of conflict 
in Germany was shorter than Okinawa, and the Peace Movement in Germany also 
attracted violent extremists and terrorist organizations that operated on the periphery by 
using the popularity and support of the Peace Movement to further their extremist causes. 


122 Ibid. 

I 22 Mueller and Risse-Kappen, “Origins of Estrangement,” 52. 


35 



Incidents of violence and protests against military personnel were not a new 
phenomenon in West Germany before the INF debate, but these previous attempts were 
sporadic and did not become systematic until the missile crisis began. The violence and 
the level of protest increased and decreased in unison public support of the Peace 
Movement. It should be noted that the Peace Movement leadership were able to control 
the violence by taking control of their protests as exemplified in the Easter Protests of 
1983, but the violence ultimately tapered off along with the Peace Movement once the 
missiles were deployed and the moderate base no longer saw the benefits of opposition. 
The RAF continued to operate until 1992 when the RAF issued a cease-fire statement to 
the media indicating its defeat as a result “ideological fatigue, strategic confusion, and 
organizational isolation.” The Peace Movement subsided in the 1980s but the Green 
Party which formed in 1980 remains in German Politics occupying 64 seats of the total 
622 in Germany’s Bundestag legislative body. 126 


124 Pilat, “European Terrorism and the Euromissiles,” 65. 

125 Dennis A. Pluchinsky, “Germany’s Red Army Faction: An Obituary,” Studies in Conflict and 
Terrorism 16, no. 2 (1993): 135, http://dx.doi.org/10.lQ8Q/10576109308435925 . 

126 p ar p es an( j Elections in Europe, accessed March 21, 2014, http://www.parties-and- 
elections. eu/germany.html . 


36 






IV. TURKEY 


Turkish protest and violence against the U.S. military is much like that of 
Germany where the majority of conflict arises from issues over of American military 
activity and how U.S. forces use locations inside the sovereign territory of Turkey to 
carry out U.S. missions. Economic friction points appear to play a lesser role due 
Turkey’s overall finical gain from entering NATO, and there is little evidence that social 
issues such as crime and racism directly result in large scale protest like those seen in 
Okinawa. This chapter will focus on incidents of military activity ranging from the Cold 
War to the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq that caused the Turkish people to protest U.S. 
military violations of Turkey’s sovereignty. Incidents that were seen as violations of 
sovereignty include the famous shoot down of an American U2 in 1960, the events 
surrounding the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 and the crash of another reconnaissance 
plane in 1965. The U.S. Arms embargo of 1974 following Turkey’s intervention in 
Cyprus, the U.S. lead invasion of Iraq in 2003, and the apprehension of Turkish Special 
Forces Officers in the Iraq city of Sulaymaniya also sparked protest as the Turkish people 
began to doubt the true intentions of the U.S. Like Germany, both leftists and nationalists 
who use popular anti-American notions to carry out their agendas harness the anti- 
American sentiment. Unlike anti-Americanism elsewhere, Turkish anti-Americanism is 
used domestically between the political left and right ideologies and with the exception of 
a few occasions, rarely is violence directed at U.S. personnel. 127 The explanation for this 
lack of direction toward American residents in Turkey is not exactly clear as it may be 
the result of the complex war between ideologies that dominated Turkish politics in the 
1970s to the 1980s, or it may be as Aylin Giiney puts it “that even the most ardent anti- 

Americanists knew that Turkey had volunteered for NATO membership and opted for the 

128 

western bloc—it was not a foreign imposition.” 


127 Aylin Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” Middle Eastern Studies 43, no 3 
(2008) 475, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00263200802Q21632 . 

128 Ibid. 


37 




A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS 

Like Germany, there is little evidence showing the U.S. military had a negative 
impact on the economic livelihood of Turkish citizens. Turkey’s participation in the 
Korean War in 1950 and its acceptance to NATO in 1952 solidified the relationship 
between Turkey and the United States. " Following this welcoming to NATO, Turkey 
and the U.S. signed several agreements allowing U.S. military units to use Turkish land 
and develop facilities in what became known as “Joint Defense Installations.” Over 30 
installations with 5,000 U.S. personnel were established to carry out missions that varied 
from routine supply operations to sophisticated intelligence gathering. During the height 
of the Cold War, the governing Turkish Democratic Party, looking to strengthen its 
position with the U.S., also signed a deal authorizing the placement of nuclear missiles on 
Turkish soil in hopes that it would help gain access to more U.S. funding and aid during a 
rough economic period. Overall, it appears the Turkish-U.S. alliance proved to be 
economically beneficial to Turkish citizens. 

B. MILITARY FRICTION POINTS 

The first indication of strained U.S.-Turkish relations came in 1960s over issues 
involving U.S. violations of Turkish sovereignty that coincided with the rise of the 
political left. Much like the increase in political activism seen in Okinawa in the years 
surrounding the Vietnam War, Turkey also saw a rise political interest among university 
students, leftist, and liberal intellectuals. 132 In 1961, intellectuals formed the Turkish 
Labor party (TLP) advocating socialism through a parliamentary democracy. The party 
never gained more than 3% of the popular vote, but the TLP and its sympathizers were 
visible in raising concerns over American imperialism spreading under the guise of 


I™ loannis N. Grigoriadis, “Friends No More?: The Rise of Anti-American Nationalism in Turkey,” 
The Middle East Journal 64, no. 1 (2010): 52. 

120 Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 472. 

121 Nur Bilge Criss, “A short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” 474. 

1 32 Ibid., 477. 

133 ibid. 


38 



NATO and the Joint Defense Installations. 134 Around the same time, three major events 
involving the U.S. military strained Turkish relations based on what were seen as 
violations of Turkish sovereignty. The Soviet grounding of an American U2 
reconnaissance aircraft in 1960, the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, and the crash of an 
American RB-57 reconnaissance aircraft into the Black Sea in 1965 gave the left and 
other political activists the opportunity to increase the friction between Turkey and the 
U.S. military. 

In the late 1950s, the U.S. started to use the NATO air base in Incirlik Turkey to 
stage reconnaissance flights over the Soviet Union using a secret high altitude 
surveillance plane known as the U-2. ^ In May 1960, a U-2 piloted by Francis Gary 
Powers stationed out of Incirlik flew deep into Soviet territory and was shot down. The 
shoot down caused an international incident and involved Turkey in one of the most 
famous events of the Cold War. The Turkish press reported that the Turkish 
government had no involvement in the issue. On May 8, 1960, the Turkish Foreign 
ministry made an announcement stating that Turkey “had never given permission for a 
U.S. airplane to make reconnaissance flights from its soil and that Turkey bore no 
responsibility for flights outside its airspace.” 137 The results were still damning as the 
Soviet government under Nikita Khr ushchev walked out on the Big Four Summit in 
Paris, causing President Eisenhower to call off any further missions over Soviet 
Territory. 138 The Soviet Union also sent a diplomatic message to Turkey criticizing their 
role in the incident by allowing a third party to use Turkish territory for intelligence 
collection purposes. Turkish media and politicians criticized the U.S. for the timing of 


134 Ibid. 

133 Michael M. Gunter, “The U.S.-Turkish Alliance in Disarray,” World Affairs 167, no. 3 (2005) 116, 
http://www.jstor.org/stable/2067271 7 . 

136 Ibid. 

1 33 Nur Bilge Criss, “A Short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” 473. 

138 Michael M. Gunter , “The U.S.-Turkish Alliance in Disarray,” 117. 

139 Ibid. 


39 




the flights so close to the Big Four Summit but stopped short of questioning the overall 
validity of the U-2 missions. 140 

Two years after the U-2 incident, Turkey was used as a bargaining chip during the 
Cuban missile crisis without involvement or knowledge of the Turkish government. In 
1959, Turkey authorized the placement of U.S. intennediate range Jupiter (SM-78) 
ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads on Turkish soil. 141 During the 
crisis in 1962, Turkey became the center of negotiations between President Kennedy and 
Soviet Premier Nikita Kh rushchev without any representation from the Turkish 
government in Ankara. The two leaders struck a secret deal where the U.S. agreed to 
withdraw the Jupiter missiles from Turkey and in turn, the Soviet Union agreed to 
withdraw the missiles from Cuba. In 1964, the Soviet embassy in Ankara leaked the 
details of the U.S.-Soviet agreement, which was adamantly denied by both the U.S. and 
Turkish governments. The leftists however, believed the story to be true and used this to 
promote anti-American sentiments. 142 Even though Turkey was no doubt safer once the 
missiles left the country, the Turkish government felt slighted. After all, the Turkish 
government had invested a lot of money in the defense infrastructure with the expectation 
that more aid would come with the missile program. The withdrawal of the missiles made 
the Turkish public question the alliance with the U.S. and U.S. commitments. The crisis 
also made the public aware that unilateral decision in Washington could not only affect 
the safety of Turkish citizens but also their existence. 143 

In 1965, while Turkey was still dealing with the realizations made in the events 
surrounding the Cuban missile crisis, another event involving a U.S. spy plane occurred 
when a RB-57 operated by the U.S. Air Force crashed into the Black Sea. The Soviet 
Union notified Turkey of the event, but the U.S. decided it would act unilaterally to 
recover the aircraft’s remains. The Turkish government felt that the incident was a 
Turkish affair and sent Turkish navy and intelligence assets to recover the wreckage. A 

1^0 Michael M Gunter, “The U.S.-Turkish Alliance in Disarray,” 117. 

141 Nur Bilge Criss, “A short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” 474. 

142 Aylin Gtiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 472. 

143 ibid. 


40 



U.S. destroyer attempted to force its way into the Black Sea by passing through the 
Dardanelles while ignoring Turkish inquiries and warnings. The ship was eventually 
stopped near Istanbul by the intervention of the Turkish navy. The Turkish navy 
recovered the wreckage and the flight data computer concluding that the plane was 
travelling west from over the Soviet border when it exceeded the planes maximum 
altitude limits and fell apart. 144 Following this incident, Turkey banned all reconnaissance 
flights from Turkish soil and attempted to gain control over U.S. activity and the NATO 
installations. 145 

In the 1960s, issues concerning Turkey’s involvement in NATO came to the 
attention of the Turkish public. In 1963, the TLP leaked the secret bilateral agreement 
between Turkey and the U.S. When certain details of the agreement were revealed, there 
was public outcry causing the Turkish government to renegotiate the terms of the 
agreement because some of the clauses were what the left considered violations of 
sovereignty. The radicals took the opportunity to protest and requested a complete 
withdraw from NATO altogether. There was a core belief among the left that Turkey had 
no sovereignty over its own land, and that the U.S. was an imperial power occupying 35 
million square meters of Turkish soil. As a result of this occupation, the left argued that 
the U.S. was able to control Turkish foreign and domestic policy. The TLP used invented 
and embellished anti-American propaganda to cast suspicion of the U.S. military. 
Examples of TLP propaganda include using the U.S. Peace Corps for spying on Turkish 
citizens, and claiming that Turkish citizens were being deliberately poisoned by U.S. 
wheat imports. 146 

TLP activities increased by the mid-1960s and anti-American and anti-NATO 
slogans became customary at universities and public events. 147 On April 19, 1966 the 
U.S. Secretary of State, Dean Rusk traveled to Turkey to attend Central Treaty 
Organization (CENTO) meetings. When he arrived, the political science debate club from 

144 Kli r Bilge Criss, “A short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” 473. 

1 45 ibid., 474. 

146 Aylin Gtiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 474. 

143 ibid. 


41 



Ankara University held a protest meeting to oppose CENTO and NATO on grounds of 
their violations on Turkish independence. A Turkish trade union also organized a protest 
on behalf of Turkish citizens employed on the military base. These protests proved to be 
pivotal because this was the first time that students and laborers went beyond just holding 
meetings and took to the streets shouting anti-American propaganda. The right also 
became vocal in 1966 by staging demonstrations to counter the now visible left in order 

1 A O 

to “condemn communism.” This only further entrenched the left who reacted with 
more protests to “condemn the United States.” 149 Physical altercations between the 
Turkish right and left movements began to occur as the divisions intensified. 

Tensions escalated in 1968 when the U.S. Navy’s 6th fleet made a port visit to 
Istanbul. University students protested by physically throwing U.S. sailors into the 
Bosporus, and a riot between the left and right ensued with the U.S. at the center of the 
hostilities. Turkish security forces became involved and a student was killed. 150 
Following the incident, the U.S. limited the visibility of its military presence and reduced 
port visits by the 6th Fleet. This was also a defining moment Turkish domestic politics as 
the left now felt that Turkey was ready for a revolution, and the right mobilized to fight 
them. 151 

The TLP lost the political elections in 1969, which disillusioned many who hoped 
for reform in the parliamentary system. As a result, members of the left began a 
campaign of terror and violence aimed the presence of the American military by 
attacking U.S. bases. That same year, the car belonging to U.S. Ambassador Robert 
Komer was burned by the left activists who thought Komer to be a CIA agent attempting 
to infiltrate the left. In 1970 and 1971, several U.S. military personnel were kidnapped 
and held briefly before being released. The opinion among U.S. leaders at the time was 


148 ]\j ur Bilge Criss, “A short History of Anti-Americanism and Terrorism: The Turkish Case,” 477. 

149 Ibid. 

Ibid. 

151 Ibid. 


152 Aylin Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 474. 


42 



that although the anti-American demonstrators were a minority, they had considerable 

153 

influence in the press and among university students. 

Ultimately, it would be a U.S. lead arms embargo following Turkey’s 1974 
intervention in Cyprus that would lead to a collapse in U.S.-Turkish relations. The 
embargo that lasted three years was considered by Turkish citizens to be an intrusion in 
Turkey’s domestic affairs. The embargo only further fueled anti-American sentiments, 
even as limitations were beginning to be lifted as early as 1974. As a result of the 
embargo, the Turkish government shut down all U.S. military facilities including air 
bases, navy support facilities, radar stations and intelligence collection sites. 154 Turkey 
had lost all confidence in the U.S., and further denied the U.S. access to Turkish soil in 
1979 to rescue hostages in Tehran during the Islamic Revolution in Iran. Relations did 
not begin to heal until after the Cold War ended, but this would be short lived lasting only 
until the U.S. invaded Iraq in 2003. 

In 2003, when the opening stages of the Iraq war began, Turkey’s ruling Justice 
and Development Party (AKP) famously denied the U.S. access to Turkish soil to 
conduct missions into northern Iraq in support of the war effort. The AKP did not think it 
would get parliamentary approval to support the U.S. without a UN security resolution 
specifically authorizing the use of force in Iraq. 155 As tensions between the U.S. and 
Turkey increased, an event on July 4, 2003 triggered a major crisis between the two 
nations. On this day, U.S. forces apprehended 11 Turkish Special Forces officers in the 
northern Iraq city of Sulaymaniya. These soldiers were hooded and taken into custody for 
questioning and accused to attempting to assassinate a Kurdish politician. The fallout 
from this event was immense as even the strongest supporters of the U.S.-Turkish 
alliance became alienated. 156 This action added fuel to the conspiracy theories that the 
U.S. was going to establish an independent Kurdish state in Iraq which would result in 


153 Ay I in Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 475. 

154 Ibid. 

155 Aylin Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 479. 

156 toannis N. Grigoriadis, “Friends No More?: The Rise of Anti-American Nationalism in Turkey,” 
58. 


43 



territorial loss for Turkey, and create a new neighbor with deep-rooted animosity towards 
Turkey. By 2007, the number of Turks that held a favorable view of the United States fell 
to 9% of those polled. This number is even lower than the Palestinians who in the same 
poll had a 13% favorable opinion of the U.S. In another 2008 survey, 40% of Turkish 

157 

citizens polled saw the U.S. as an enemy while only 18% saw it as an ally. 

Despite these low approval numbers and with Turkish citizens being generally 
suspicious of U.S. intentions, and despite public outrage fueled by the Sulaymaniya 
scandal and the Abu Ghraib prison incident, there have not been significant attacks on 
U.S. personnel since the Iraq war began. Rather than physical altercations against U.S. 
personnel, the outrage has been limited to media portrayals of U.S. soldiers in books and 
film. A famous Turkish book titled Metal Storm depicts a war between Turkey and the 
U.S. in the near future. The plot involves a U.S. invasion of Turkey from Iraq followed 
by an occupation of major Turkish cities. The book concludes after a Turkish agent 
detonates a bomb in Washington D.C. Metal Storm became an instant success selling 
500,000 copies in 18 months and ran ten editions. Turkish readers received the book as 
a realistic scenario that “satisfied the psychological mood and desire of Turks to vent 
their feelings against American policies in their part of the world.” 159 

A 2006 movie titled The Valley of Wolves: Iraq was the biggest budget Turkish 
film ever made with an estimated budget of $10 million. The film portrays American 
soldiers chewing gum and killing innocent people at an Iraqi wedding. The film also 
features a Jewish-American doctor who harvests organs from prisoners at Abu Ghraib in 
order to sell them in Israel and the United States. The hero of the film takes revenge for 
the Sulaymaniya arrest of the Turkish Special Forces members and single handedly 
brings peace to Iraq. The Valley of Wolves was extremely successful in Turkey, drawing 
an audience of 1.2 million people in the first three days. The wife of the Turkish Prime 
Minister, Emine Erdogan screened the film and stated, “I feel so proud of them all.” 160 

157 Ibid., 59. 

158 loannis N. Grigoriadis, “Friends No More?” 61. 

159 Ay I in Gtiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 483. 

160 Ibid. 


44 



Similarly, the head of the Turkish parliament Bulent Arinc praised the film for its 
realism. U.S. officials largely ignored the film and saw no significance but some 
expressed concern about the support the film received from high-ranking Turkish 
officials. 161 There may be some degree of accuracy to Aylin Guney’s remark that media 
satisfies the psychological mood of the Turk’s, because despite the skepticism and the 
less than favorable views of Americans in polls, there has been no real documented 
activity directed at American service members or civilians living in Turkey. 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS 

In the 1950s, not only were American troops arriving in Turkey, so too was 
American pop culture. Adding to support the influx of American culture was Prime 
Minister Adnan Menderes policy to create “a little America” in Turkey. Despite the 
sudden arrival of American troops and their culture, there was little public resistance or 
opposing sentiment. By the 1960s-1970s, anti-American sentiment was strong but this 
appears to be a result of American policy and the appearance of American colonialism 
rather than cultural misunderstandings or crime caused by Americans. Similarly, the low 
opinion polls of American following the opening stages in the war in Iraq seem to stem 
more from policy rather than interaction with American service members. Tensions 
appear to be based on the questionability of U.S. intentions and the strength of the 
alliance. There is little evidence to show that crime or racist acts committed by U.S. 
personnel have added to hostilities like they have in Okinawa. 

D. CONCLUSION 

In terms of duration, the conflict over military friction points in Turkey runs 
almost as long as the situation in Okinawa beginning in the 1960s, but the actual amount 
of violence and protest is lower. Today, anti-Americanism in Turkey cuts across all 
sections of Turkish society. Global polls reveal that Turkey is a place where Americans 


161 Ibid. 
162 Ibid. 
163 Ibid. 


45 



have the lowest favorability. 164 Anti-American sentiment spans the political spectrum 
from the far left, to the religious right and the secularists. 16 ^ Much of this animosity was 
originated during the Cold War over disagreements over military activity and how the 
U.S. should be allowed to use Turkish soil to carry out missions against the Soviet Union. 
Concerns over violations of Turkish sovereignty were exacerbated during the Cuban 
missile crisis when the U.S. negotiated the withdrawal of nuclear missiles based in 
Turkey without Turkish representation. By the 1960s, leftist activists and members of the 
TLP used anti-American propaganda to gain support for their cause which ignited some 
altercations against U.S. personnel as seen in the 6th fleet incident. With the exception of 
6th fleet, and some kidnappings of U.S. personnel, the violence was mostly targeted 
between the Turkish left and members of the Turkish right who feared the spread of 
communism. This nuance makes Turkey unique in that anti-Americanism was used by 
the elites to direct hostility between Turkish citizens and not against U.S. service 
members. 

By the start of the Iraq war, Turkish public opinion of Americans was at an all- 
time low. Concerns over how the Bush administration declared war without a UN 
resolution coupled with the Sulaymaniya incident and the Abu Ghraib prison scandal 
helped to ignite public indignation. Despite this widespread animosity and the negative 
portrayal of American servicemen in popular media, there have not been any significant 
attacks on U.S. military personnel stationed in Turkey. Public sentiment in Turkey is 
thought to have improved with the election of President Obama and the end of hostilities 
in Iraq but the anti-American trend has not been significantly reversed. 166 


164 Aylin Giiney, “Anti-Americanism in Turkey: Past and Present,” 484. 
Ibid. 

166ioannis N. Grigoriadis, “Friends No More?: 66. 

46 



V. BAHRAIN 


The purpose of this chapter is to evaluate the nature of the political protests in 
Bahrain in order to determine the conditions under which the Bahraini people either took 
to the streets in large protests, or carried out violent acts against their government. 
Bahrain has a long history of protest going back to the early 1900s. Economic, military, 
and social friction points play a role in the protest between the Bahraini citizens and the 
monarchy at varying degrees. Economic concerns united the Sunni and Shia citizens in 
1938 and 1954 in order to protest labor interests. Social friction points make up the 
causes for the majority of the protests. The largest example of this type of protest is the 
Arab Spring in 2011. Bahrain is also unique, because unlike Okinawa, Germany, and 
Turkey, there is little evidence based on outward protest to show that Bahraini people 
disapprove of Bahrain’s military involvement in regional conflicts, or its close 
relationship with the U.S. The current predominant Bahraini opposition movement, A1 
Wifaq, has not directed hostility at the U.S. does not seem harbor ill will at this juncture. 
This chapter will summarize the economic, military and social conflicts throughout 
Bahrain’s history and will conclude with the events surrounding the Arab Spring. 

A. ECONOMIC FRICTION POINTS 

To say that the nature of the protests in Bahrain is purely sectarian overlooks 
Bahrain’s history as a cosmopolitan center with a thriving middle class that includes both 
Sunni and Shia citizens. The existence of this middle class is due largely to Bahrain’s 
geographic location making it an urban society and a center for commerce in the gulf 
region. 167 The lack of water and grazing land also prevented Bahrain from the “parochial 
tribalism of the other countries on the Arabian peninsula.” By the nineteenth century, 
Bahrain was the largest trading center in the Gulf with heavy influences from the Arab, 
Persian, and Indian cultures that did business on the island. 169 These geographic and 

167 Stephen Zunes, “Bahrain’s Arrested Revolution'’ Arab Studies Quarterly 35, no. 2 (2013) 151, 
http://www.istor.Org/stable/10.13169/arabstudquar.35.2.0149 . 

168 Ibid. 

169 Ibid. 


47 




ethnic influences “reinforced traditions of cosmopolitanism, tolerance and pluralism.” 170 
At two points in Bahrain’s history, economic friction points actually unite the two sects 
in protesting against the monarchy. Sunni and Shia laborers came together in the 1938 to 
conduct labor strikes for better working conditions at the Bahrain Petroleum Company’s 
(BAPCO) oil fields shortly following the discovery of oil on the island. In 1954, taxi 
drivers went on strike to protest new insurance regulations and demanded a trade union. 
The taxi protest lead the creation of the Cooperative Compensation Society, and other 
nonsectarian groups that intended to bring both Sunni and Shia businessmen together 
over shared interests. 

Oil was discovered in Bahrain in 1932, which lead to the creation of BAPCO and 
the development oil drills and refineries. 171 By 1938, labor strikes from both Sunni and 
Shia oil field workers became a regular occurrence. In a bit of foreshadowing, the al- 
Khalifa family relied on support from foreign governments, India in this case, to help 
suppress opposition movements. 172 On November 1, 1938, a petition was created by five 
prominent figures from both the Sunni and Shia sects. Among their demands were calls 
for legislative, judicial, and education refonns. Economically, the petition requested the 
establishment of trade unions and the hiring preferences for Bahraini nationals over 
foreign labor. 17 ’ British officials also attributed the overall decline of the economic 
situation resulting from a decline in the pearl market, and the dissatisfaction with police 
services as additional causes for bringing the Sunni and Shia sects together. 174 

The British advisor to the King, Sir Charles Belgrave, developed a plan to divide 
the Sunni and Shia alliance. Belgrave neutralized the Shia by agreeing to some of the 
judicial and legislative reforms that effectively removed the Shia from the alliance. Later 
in 1938, Belgrave and the al-Khalifa’s intended to put an end to the opposition by 
arresting the remaining Sunni reformers. What Belgrave and the al-Khalifas failed to 

170 Ibid. 

1 7 1 Falah al-Mdaires, “Schism and Political Protest in Bahrain,” Digest of Middle East Studies Spring, 
(2002) 21, doi: 10.1111/j.1949-3606.2002.tb00440.x. 

172 Ibid., 23. 

173 Ibid., 24. 

174 Ibid. 


48 



realize, was the discovery of oil created a labor class, which was not sectarian—based. 
This realization would be immediately apparent following the arrest of the Sunni 
reformers. After the arrest, both Sunni and Shia laborers went on a general strike at 
BAPCO raising the same demands previously made in the petition. 17j Belgrave’s attempt 
at divide and rule had failed because he did not understand that the strikes were economic 
and that economics would be enough to unite both sects. This coherence would also 
occur later in labor strikes in 1943, which made improvements to the social situation for 
both sects. 176 

Economics would also play a major role in a strike held by taxi drivers in 1954. 
On September 24th, taxi drivers went on strike over the government’s decision to force 
all taxi drivers to purchase insurance from British companies at a high rate. The drivers 
went on strike demanding the repeal of this mandate, the creation of a taxi driver labor 
union, and a cancelation of the bridge toll on the bridge that connected Manamah to 
Muhraraq. A local newspaper called Sawt al-Bahrain, which was created by intellectuals 
from both sects, picked up the taxi drivers’ cause. They used the taxi strike to promote a 
unification of the two sects and pressured the government to allow the creation of the 
Cooperative Compensation Society (CCS), which promoted the business interests of both 
sects. 177 

The leadership of the CCS went on to create the Higher Executive Committee 
(HEC) consisting of four prominent members from each sect. The HEC called for 
legislative reform and the formation of trade unions. On November 17, 1954 the HEC 
used the celebration of the Prophet’s birth to rally thousands of people into signing a 
petition to allow the HEC to present their concerns to the Government. The government 
refused, causing a massive general strike in December 1954, with an estimated 90% of 
the public participating. 178 The British began to fear the strike would spread to other areas 
including Kuwait and Qatar, and ultimately negotiated with the HEC after the general 

175 Ibid., 24. 

176 Ibid. 

177 Ibid., 25 

178 Ibid., 26. 


49 



strike. The HEC became known as the Committee for National Unity (CNU) and 
negotiated the creation of the Bahraini Labor Union. 

The CNU was successful in promoting other strikes and social protests, which 
united the two sects in a struggle for autonomy from Britain. Following a strike over 
British control of Egypt in 1956, the leaders of the CNU were tried and exiled to the 
British crown colony Saint Helena Island. This exile and crackdown on the CNU caused 
the creation of underground Marxist and nationalist political groups including the Arab 
Nationalist Movement, and the Bahraini Liberation Front. 179 

Despite the large strikes and turmoil caused by economic concerns, and even 
though the oil supplies are running out, Bahrain’s economy remains strong today. Oil 
refining and the extraction of natural gas, as well as aluminum processing, light 
manufacturing, ship building and commerce all play major roles in replacing the income 
lost with the drying oil wells. Bahrain has a per capita income of $26,000, which puts it 
on the same economic footing as Greece. Literacy is estimated to be at 90% and the life 
expectancy is comparable to most of Europe. This combined with its less restrictive laws 
that attract tourists from around the Gulf, makes Bahrain one of the better-off nations in 
the Middle East in terms of economically. 180 

B. MILITARY FICTION POINTS 

Where the military is concerned, there appears to be little in the way of conflict. 
In the other cases discussed in this thesis, citizens were concerned about their sovereign 
territory being used to carry out wars or actions against neighboring countries. Bahrain is 
somewhat unique in that if appears to be the only exception in our case studies where 
there is a lack of protest stemming from the military friction point. Bahrain is currently 
home of NAVCENT and the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet Headquarters. The command is 
housed at the 100-acre Naval Support Activity-Bahrain with approximately 5,000 
assigned personnel. Throughout multiple conflicts, Bahrain has been a strong ally to 

179 Ibid., 27. 

Stephen Zunes, “Bahrain’s Arrested Revolution” Arab Studies Quarterly 35, no. 2 (2013) 151. 

181 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 23. 

50 



the U.S. Bahrain played a key role in the Gulf War, and more recently in Operations 
Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom. 

In the 1991 Gulf War, Bahrain played host to 1,300 U.S. personnel during the 
containment phase of the conflict, and once the war commenced, Bahraini pilots flew 
combat missions over Iraq. As a consequence for their participation, Iraq fired nine scud 
missiles at Bahrain, three of which actually landed on the island. This makes Bahrain 
unique again in that it is the only country in the case study to actually receive direct 
action as a result of its support of the United States. Despite this fact, Bahrain hosted the 
regional headquarters for the UN weapons inspectors from 1991-1998, as well as the 
Multi-National force in charge of the embargo on Iraq from 1991-2003. 182 

Bahrain and the UAE are the only two Gulf countries to deploy forces to 
Afghanistan in support of OEF. Bahrain allowed the U.S. to fly combat missions from 
Shaykh Isa Air Base for both OEF and OIF as well as host 4000 troops on their way to 
Afghanistan. Bahrain also made a public display of deploying its warship named Subhci 
in order to protect U.S. ships in the gulf, and sent troops and equipment to Kuwait to 
support the efforts in Iraq. 183 

With the exceptions of the tensions between the government in Iraq and Bahrain 
over the support of the opposition, there seems to be little attention given to U.S. military 
activity in Bahrain. While U.S.-Bahraini relations may be strained over the unrest, the 
“defense cooperation has not suffered significantly.” 184 So despite the U.S. voicing 
concerns over the crackdown, the government has not made moves against the U.S. 
military in retaliation. Similarly, leaders of al-Wifaq indicate that should the Shiite 
opposition gain more control in the government, “defense relations will not be at risk.” 185 
Whether or not this is just an attempt by al-Wifaq to placate the United States, remains to 
be seen. For the time being the Navy has no plan to relocate this facility. In July 2011, 
NACENT issued a statement refuting a British release claiming that the Navy was 

182 Ibid., 24. 

183 Ibid., 25. 

184 Ibid., 23. 

185 Ibid., 21. 


51 



looking to relocate its facilities to either the UAE or Qatar. 186 Since there appears to be 
no ill will from either side on Bahrain’s security alliance with the U.S., the Navy seems 
content on remaining so long as the status quo goes unchanged. 

C. SOCIAL FRICTION POINTS 

Despite the strong standing of the overall Bahraini economy, social conflict 
between the Shia and the al-Khalifa monarchy remains persistent. These tensions are 
primarily due to the lack of Shia political representation in the government, coupled with 
human rights violations, and discrimination against the Shia majority. Bahraini society 
can be divided into three main categories. First are the Shia majority, which makes up the 
labor class, and second are the Sunni minority who are members of many levels of 
society. The third and highest social category in the hierarchy is the Sunni al-Khalifa 
monarchy, which has ruled the island since 1783. 187 After conquering the island, the al- 
Khalifas claimed the lands as personal property “on the foundation of victorious 
rights.” They have governed the island ever since. Conflicts between the Shia and the 
Sunni monarchy are the strongest social friction point in Bahrain’s society. This section 
will focus on the role of the sectarian divide in the general strike of 1922, the attempts by 
the British government to exploit sectarianism throughout the 1950s-1960s, and will 
briefly highlight the events surrounding the Arab Spring in 2011. 

As early as the 1920s, foreigners took notice of the sectarian divide in Bahrain. 
The British political representative in Bahrain, Lieutenant Trevor, commented on the 
Shia grievances by stating, “They have no refuge...their properties are subject to plunder, 
and their selves liable to maltreatment at any moment...They suffered from slavery order 
and they are not acceptable in heading any institution.” In February 1922, a general 
strike was held in the Manamah Bazaar that resulted in a protest demonstration against 
“the practices of an oppressing authority.” 190 The protest was enough to motivate British 

186 Ibid., 24. 

18 ^ Falah al-Mdaires, “Schism and Political Protest in Bahrain,” 21. 

188 Ibid. 

189 Ibid., 22. 

190 Ibid. 


52 



political representatives to abdicate Isa bin Ali in 1923 and replace him with his son 
Sheikh Hamad. Along with the abdication, Britain also pressured the monarchy to create 
a new customs, police, and judicial system in order to appease the Shia protestors. 191 This 
was the earliest start of British interventions that would last until the 1960s. 

Along with Britain’s attempts to intervene economically, it also attempted to 
apply its colonial “divide and rule” practices. A gentleman named Sir Charles Belgrave, 
who served as a British advisor to the al-Khalifa court from the 1950s-1960s, made 
deliberate attempts divide Sunni and Shia sects socially in the interest of maintaining the 
economic a status quo. A blatant example of this attempt by Belgrave and the Khalifa’s is 
the clashes that occurred between the sects during an Ashura procession in 1953. It is 
believed that a high-ranking police official, an al-Khalifa family member, was placed in 
charge of a group of intelligence officers who were ordered to throw bottles at the Shia 
marching in an Ashura procession. Following the attack on the procession, they traveled 
to Muharraq to “lead Sunni fanatics in attacking Shia residences.” Staged events like 
this became emblematic of clashes from 1953-1954, wherein Belgrave, “pretended to be 
the defender of Shia and their rights, while Salman bin Hamad al-Kahlifa pretended to be 
the defender of the Sunni and their rights.” 193 

The division between the two sects grew between the 1970s-1990s. This was due 
in large part by the desire of the West to “maintain the status quo to ensure a secure the 
flow of oil resources from the region.” 194 Today, Shia citizens still make up the majority 
of Bahrain’s population, but the exact numbers are difficult to assess. Adding to the 
trouble of counting Sunni versus Shia in Bahrain was the government’s policy to grant 
citizenship to “10,000 Sunni families from Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Syria, Jordan, and 
Pakistan to work in the military and security forces.” 195 It should also be noted that Shia 
are not allowed to enlist in the Bahraini military due to the monarchy questioning their 

191 Ibid. 

192 Ibid., 25. 

193 Ibid., 25. 

19 4 Steven Wright, “Fixing the Kingdom: Political Evolution and Socio-Economic changes in 
Bahrain,” Center for International Regional Studies, 2010, 9. 

195 Ibid. 


53 



loyalty. Shia citizens see the granting citizenship to foreigners as Sunni attempts to 
change the population demographic to their favor. 196 To add further injury, Bahraini Shia 
face higher unemployment and as a result of these citizenship grants, they are seeing 
good jobs and salaries going to non-Bahrainis. 197 Tensions between the sects remained 
high from the 1970s to the 1990s, and peaked in 1994-1998, when anti-government 
violence from Shiite citizens was a daily occurrence. 198 

In 1999, King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa ascended the throne and began 
implementing social and political refonns. To symbolize the new attitude of the 
monarchy, he changed his title to “Amir” which implies more accountability to his 
people, and he established a referendum in 2002 to create a new constitution, and a 
National Assembly (parliament). 199 The Shiite criticized these reforms because they gave 
an equal distribution of seats to both sects, and the Shia wanted an electoral process that 
would allow them to translate their numbers as a majority into political strength. 200 
Elections into the Bahraini Council of Representatives (COR) are held every four years 
and these elections are highly contested by the Shia citizens who perceive that the 
government is consistently rigging the outcomes with the intention on blocking a Shia 
majority in the COR. 201 

Political parties are outlawed in Bahrain, so political societies are created to fill a 
party role come election time. 202 The largest Shia political party is the Al-Wifaq National 
Islamic Society. A Shia cleric, named Shaykh Ali al-Sahnan is considered the core leader 
of the opposition protest movement. Due to his status as a cleric, he does not participate 
as a candidate in COR elections. He is known to be visible with Shia protestors and 
sustained a minor injury by Bahraini Security Forces during a protest in June 2012. 


196 Ibid. 

197 Ibid. 

198 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 2. 

199 Ibid. 

200 Ibid., 3. 

201 Ibid. 

202 Ibid. 


54 



Another major al-Wifaq personality is a Shiite cleric named Isa Qasim who is in his late 
seventies. Isa Qasim is considered “fiery” and is generally “resistant to many proposals to 
settle the crisis.” 203 

Another Shia party with influence is the Al-Haq Movement. Unlike al-Wifaq, Al- 
Haq will not settle on refonn, instead their goal is a complete regime change away from a 
monarchy. This hard line has made Al-Haq illegal in Bahrain and therefore it has a 
smaller membership base than Al-Wifaq. 204 Al-Haq leaders are also said to have ties with 
Iran and with other Islamist movements in the Middle East. Leaders of Al-Haq include 
Dr. Abduljalil Alsingace and Hassan Mushaima. 205 

The 2010 National Assembly elections held in October brought each of the Shiite 
political societies to the forefront and laid the foundation for the uprising in 2011. Al- 
Wifaq ran some candidates in the election while Al-Haq boycotted over claims of 
government gerrymandering. Just before the election, 23 Shiite leaders were arrested on 
charges of attempting to overthrow the government. A total of 160 Shiite citizens were 
arrested that month under a new anti-terrorism law that gave the government broad 
arresting powers. Dr Alsingace was arrested in August, and a popular Shiite cleric 
Ayatollah Hussein Mirza al-Najati had his Bahraini citizenship revoked. 206 Observers 
believe that the government crackdown was an attempt to drive Shiite voters to al-Haq 
thereby keeping them from voting in the election due to al-Haq’s boycott. While this may 
have worked, it caused an increase in demonstrations in Shiite neighborhoods as well as a 
bombing of four police cars. 207 Once the Arab Spring swept across Egypt, it spread to 
Bahrain and emboldened the Shia opposition. 

On February 14, 2011, Bahraini motivated by the events that overthrew Hosni 
Mubarak in Egypt took to the streets. After a few days of minor protests and clashes with 
Bahraini security forces, a crowd of predominantly Shia demonstrators converged on a 

203 Ibid. 

204 Ibid., 4. 

203 Ibid. 

206 Ibid., 5. 

207 Ibid. 


55 



traffic circle known as Pearl Roundabout. The protestors demanded more power to the 
COR, and the halt of the alleged gerrymandering that kept the Shia from achieving a 
majority in the COR. Shiite protestors also demanded more jobs and opportunities, and 
an end to their second-class citizenship and their label as “untrustworthy.” 208 

On February 17, security forces forcibly removed demonstrators from the 
roundabout with rubber bullets, and teargas. Four demonstrators were killed during the 
raid and others died shortly after. The Bahraini government claimed that it did this to 
prevent the situation from entering a “sectarian abyss,” and a civil war. 209 At the same 
time, Britain closed its embassy in Bahrain and stopped all anns imports into the 
country 210 

The U.S. urged the Bahraini government to pull back from clashes with the Shia 
protestors who then reclaimed the roundabout on February 19. 211 On February 22, the 
largest of the protests occurred as Shiite citizens blocked roads for miles around the 
roundabout. In order to take pressure off the situation, King Hamad pardoned and 
released 308 prisoners, and allowed Al-Haq’s leader Hassan Mushaima to return from 
exile. The King also relieved two family members who held posts in offices that affect 
jobs and quality of life on the island. 212 

In March, Crown Prince Salman opened dialogue and promised reforms that 
would allow the parliament to have full authority and a government that met the will of 
the people with fair district boundaries and voting measures 213 These appeals were seen 
as too little too late, to the many protestors who shifted to Al-Haq. The people no longer 
wanted refonn; instead they wanted an overthrow. Al-Wifaq remained moderate and was 


208 Ibid., 7. 

209 Ibid. 
210 Ibid. 

211 Ibid., 8 

212 Ibid. 

213 Ibid. 


56 



hopeful that dialogue would bring change, but even still refused to enter formal talks with 
the King. 214 

With the Kingdom at a standstill and with no formal dialogue, the protests 
escalated. Protestors blocked the entrances to the financial district, causing the 
government to fear a heavy impact on the islands economy. 215 The government appealed 
to the GCC for assistance. Many are aware that Saudi Arabia spearheaded the request by 
sending 1,200 armored troops over the causeway, but few realize that the UAE sent 600 
police forces, and Kuwait sent Naval Units to help secure the island. 216 The government 
with its borders now secured, used its forces to clear and destroy the Pearl Roundabout on 
March 18, 2011. Many Shia hardliners were once again arrested including Mushaima. 
Following the incident, Shia members of the judiciary, members of the council, and other 
government positions either left their jobs temporarily or quit altogether. 

In the months following the GCC crackdown, the King initiated the Bahrain 
Independent Commission of Inquiry (BICI) to investigate the allegations violence and 
torture. The BICI presented its report on November 23, 2011. The five-member 
commission detennined that 35 deaths are attributed to the unrest between February 14 
and April 15 2011. 217 Security Forces killed a total of 13 people in clashes. Of these 13, 
wounds inflicted from a shotgun killed seven; five were killed by “another type of 
firearm”; and one was beaten to death. 218 Five people died as the result of torture; three 
while in the custody of the Ministry of the Interior (MOI), one after being released to the 
hospital by Bahrain’s National Security Agency, and one death occurred four days after 
the individual was released from MOI custody. 219 The report also mentions that 
demonstrators killed three police officers, and one officer was accidently killed by the 


214 Ibid. 

215 Ibid. 

216 Ibid., 9. 

217 Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry, M. Cherif Bassiouni, and Nigel S. Rodley. Report of 
the Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry. Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry, 2011, 219. 

218 Idid., 223. 

219 Ibid. 


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Bahraini Defense Force (BDF). 220 The report appeared to have been thorough in 
investigating the allegations of death and torture on both sides of the conflict, and was 
headed by Dr. Cherif Bassiouni a renowned legal expert. Despite the appearance of 
openness, many Shia leaders accused the document and Bassiouni of being bias “in favor 
of exonerating top government officials 221 

Since 2011, events in Bahrain have been largely at an impasse. On February 14, 
2012, one year after the uprising started, protestors attempted to retake the Pearl 
Roundabout but were stopped by Bahraini security forces. The largest demonstration to 
date was the one on March 9, 2012 to protest the anniversary of the GCC intervention. 
The March protest was also meant to highlight the Formula One race held annually in 
Bahrain. Protests also increased in the days leading up to the race. The race was still held 
amid international concerns and a low spectator turnout. 222 After a clashes turned deadly 
in September and October of 2012, the Bahraini government banned all rallies and 
demonstrations. 223 

Despite the ban on protests, the potential for violence remains. In June 2012, 
bomb-making materials were found in several locations around the island, and in 
November 2012 five explosions killed two non-Bahrainis.“ Violence continued into 
2013 with a car bomb attack outside a mosque in a Sunni neighborhood during the holy 
month of Ramadan. In 2014, the situation has continued in similar fashion to 2013. 
The use of car bombs remains regular in 2014 beginning with the explosion of a car 
bomb on April 7, 2014 in the largely expat populated area of Manama during the 2014 
Bahrain Formula One Grand Prix.” While no one was injured in the April 7th incident, 

220 Ibid., 220. 

22 1 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 10. 

222 Ibid., 14. 

223 Ibid., 15. 

224 Ibid., 16. 

223 Farishta Saeed, “Bahrain Jails Four for Car Bomb Outside Mosque,” Chicago Tribune, November 
10, 2013, http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/sns-rt-us-bahrain-court-20131110,0,5596996.story . 

22 6 “Bi as t Rocks Bahrain During Grand Prix,” Aljaz.eera, April 7 2014, 
http://www.aliazeera.com/news/middleeast/2014/04/blast-rocks-bahrain-during-grand-prix- 

201447675399917.html 


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two people were killed and a third was severely wounded by later car explosion only 12 
days later on April 19th. 227 

The lack of progress is attributed to both sides that appear to be stifled by 
hardliners. Within the government, al-Khalifa family members and Sunni leaders who 
felt the plan was too “conciliatory” struck down many attempts including a March 2012 
plan to appease the opposition. 228 Similarly, many blame the opposition for being 
unwilling to negotiate after the crackdown and GCC intervention. The Bahraini 
government, its moderate political societies, and the United States should be concerned 
with the increase in the formation of anti-compromise factions who are looking to bring 
the collapse of the regime by waging protests and taking part in activities that are 
intended to collapse the Bahraini economy. 229 This lack of progress and the entrenchment 
of Shia toward regime change should cause concern for Bahraini and U.S. policy makers. 
The social friction point does not seem to be going away. 

D. CONCLUSION 

A brief examination in the nature of protest in Bahrain reveals that the current 
situation of unrest is the result of social tensions based on unemployment, and unequal 
Shiite representation within the Bahraini government. To say that the nature of the protest 
is purely sectarian would be far too simple a statement. True, the uprising appears to be 
divided between the sects, but the research indicates that theological differences are not at 
the heart of the struggle. The evidence suggests that much of the conflict stems from 
economic and social friction points. 

In the early part of the 1900s to the 1950s, the two sects actually united against 
the monarchy over economic concerns that lead to the abdication of the king in 1923. 
Fearing that the two sides would become too powerful in their opposition, the Bahraini 
monarchy along with British advisors successfully divided the sects under divide and rule 


227 “T wo killed in Bahrain Car Explosion,” BBC News, April 19, 2014, www.bbc.com/news/world- 
middle-east-27086763 . 

228 U.S. Library of Congress, Bahrain: Reform, 16. 

229 Ibid. 


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style practices. The government and foreign investors favored the status quo with the 
divided sects because it reduced turmoil and allowed for the predictable flow oil and 
other resources from the region. 

There has been little evidence to show that Bahrain’s alignment with the U.S. has 
caused a significant protest from the Shiite and Sunni citizens. This makes Bahrain 
unique in these case studies in that this is the only country that did not protest against the 
activities of the U.S. military in the region. Bahrain was a major ally in the Gulf War, 
OEF, and OIF. Bahraini air bases and ports were used to conduct combat missions as 
well as serve as a staging point for men and materiel to enter the region. Both the 
government and the leaders of the opposition movement have expressed support for the 
U.S. defense structure. 230 

Social tensions grew throughout the 1900s, peaking in the mid-1990s. When King 
Hamad came to power in 1999, he attempted to implement some reform and 
representation while still maintaining his absolute authority. Election cycles in the early 
2000s were plagued by accusations of corruption, and gerrymandering that kept the Shiite 
community from achieving a majority in the government. Opposition leaders seized upon 
the momentum from the Arab Spring in 2011 to motivate the Shiite community into a 
large-scale protest. The protest was met with strong resistance and a crackdown from the 
Bahraini government and its GCC allies. The resulting deaths and allegations of torture 
on the part of the government have led many moderate Shia to harden their resolve and 
shift from a refonn movement to a complete overthrow of the regime. The situation 
remains at a stalemate with the government unwilling to give into sweeping reform 
demands, and the Shiite unwilling to accept a deal that falls short of a democracy that 
represents the Shiite political majority. With approximately 5,000 personnel stationed at 
NAVCENT and its supporting facilities, the U.S. military needs to remain vigilant in 
monitoring the opposition movement and the government for signs increased conflict. 


230 Ibid., 23. 


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VI. CONCLUSION 


A. FINDINGS 

After reviewing each of the case studies, we have seen the three main categories 
of friction points ignite some level of protest or violence. The country with greatest 
amount of prolonged protest activity against the U.S. military is Okinawa. This is to be 
expected since Okinawa meets the criteria for all three friction points. The remaining 
countries have one or two friction points as indicated in Table 1. 



Economic 

Military 

Social 

Okinawa 

X 

X 

X 

Gennany 


X 


Turkey 


X 


Bahrain 

X 


X 


Table 1. Friction Point Matrix 

In Okinawa, the American acquisition of land led to largest protests of up to 
160,000 citizens, making economics a significant friction point. U.S. military attempts to 
use Okinawa for combat operations during the Vietnam War lead to short but intense 
periods of protests. The hazards of continual military activity on the safety of Okinawan 
citizens who live near the base and the effects of these operations on the environment 
have led low levels to protests that continue to this day. The rape case in 1995 brought 
85,000 from across Okinawan society to the streets to call for the removal of U.S. bases. 
The rape case made the social friction point one that can unite broad classes in society 

under one cause. Racist attitudes or indifference by U.S. personnel as evidenced by the 

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Pacific Fleet Commander’s comments toward Okinawans is an area worth further 
research in order to see to what extent racism had on U.S. policy. 

Germany has one of the shortest durations of protest, stemming from the U.S. 
and NATO decision to place nuclear weapons on Gennan soil. Like Okinawa, the protest 
had little effect on U.S. policy and the missiles were still placed on the German border. 
Germany is unique however, in that it had some of the more spectacular acts of violence 
due to the hijacking of the anti-nuclear protests by radical elements on the fringe of the 
Peace Movement. Economic trigger points are not seen, due in large part by post WWII 
agreements that left Gennany to focus on its economy and political role in Europe 
without having to spend money on defense which was supplied by the U.S. The levels of 
racism and social conflict seen in Okinawa are not present in Gennany. Further study 
may be needed to better understand why Americans interacted differently with Gennany 
than it did with Japan following WWII. 

In Turkey, anti-Americanism became a central theme in Turkish politics, but the 
actual acts of protests and violence directed at Americans was rather limited to some 
kidnappings and the physical altercations that occurred during the 6th Fleet port visit. 
Protests erupted from military friction points stemming from what were seen as U.S. 
military violations of Turkish sovereignty during the Cold War. These trigger points 
include the scandals involving U.S. spy planes flying missions into Russia from Turkish 
soil as well as the deal made between the U.S. and the Soviet Union without Turkey’s 
consent during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Following the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, 
Turkey became the most anti-American country in the world according to opinion polls. 
The low approval rating is attributed to questions concerning the true intentions of the 
U.S. following the Abu Ghraib prison scandal, as well as the Sulaymaniya incident. 
There is little evidence to show that economics or social friction points played a 
significant role in causing protest. 

The nature of the current protest in Bahrain is centered on social friction points 

and the hostility is directed at the Bahraini government. Research indicates that early on, 

economic friction points could actually unite the Sunni and Shia sects in coordinating 

general strikes for better labor conditions and job opportunities. These strikes even led to 

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the abdication of the king in 1922. In tenns of military friction points, the U.S. military 
staged multiple operations and flew combat missions out of Bahrain in the Gulf War, 
OEF, and OIF. Bahrain was also one of the few GCC nations to contribute troops to these 
campaigns. Bahrain is unique in our case studies in that it is the only country where 
military activities did not lead to a significant amount of protest. Social protests have a 
history of being large in Bahrain with the largest and most violent occurring during the 
Arab Spring in 2011. Today, large protests have been largely eliminated, but some still 
continue as seen by the protests marking the anniversary of the Arab Spring and the GCC 
crackdown. The annual Formula One Race also continues to spark protests as Shia 
citizens attempt to use the race as a platform bring international attention to their cause. 

B. LESSONS LEARNED 

The research confirms the second hypothesis that tensions between the U.S. 
military and Bahraini citizens do not exist because the leadership of the opposition has 
not directed hostilities in towards the United States. Although the current unrest in 
Bahrain has not directed its focus on the U.S. military, there are still lessons to be learned 
from the case studies. Okinawa has taught us that economic friction points ignited by the 
U.S. can bring about the largest protest. The same was seen in Bahrain in the early 1920s 
when the Sunni and Shia sects united against the monarchy. Economics affect society 
across the board regardless of class or interests. Okinawa also indicates to us that social 
friction points such as crime committed by U.S. service members can draw large sections 
of society together, especially if NGOs and the media support the cause. 

Germany taught us that even a nonviolent protest movement is vulnerable to 
extremism and violence by radicals acting on its fringes. Had it not been for the 
leadership of the German Peace Movement redirecting the nature of the movement’s 
activities by the time of the 1983 Easter Sunday protests; the radicals could have taken 
the country over the edge into a more violent situation. With the unrest in Bahrain at a 
stalemate and with the trenches between the government and the Shia getting deeper, 
there is a higher likelihood of radicals entering with the scene. The strength of the 


63 



moderate leaders like al-Wifaq in Bahrain is essential to keeping the fringes from 
hijacking the opposition. 

Turkey is unique in that anti-Americanism was used to cause turmoil within 
Turkish national politics. This factor could certainly come up in Bahrain. Although anti- 
American sentiments are rarely seen in Bahrain, it is possible that the presence of the 
U.S. may be used as a political agenda by the opposition movement to attract more 
support, or to influence the U.S. into changing its policies in supporting the monarchy. 
The moderate leaders of al-Wifaq have expressed that the country’s relationship with the 
U.S. military will not change if the opposition gains power in the government, but if al- 
Haq continues to attract more hardliners; there is no guarantee that the current 
harmonious relationship will remain. 

C. RECOMMENDATIONS 

Based on the lessons learned from each case study and their potential to affect us 
in Bahrain, this thesis proposes four recommendations: 

1) Commanders and policy makers should monitor al-Wifaq and other opposition 
movements closely. The silence of Al-Wifaq following the recent car bombs should be 
concerning. The silence of the moderate opposition leaders means one of two things. It 
could mean that al-Wifaq is at a minimum giving tacit support to car bombs as a 
legitimate form of protest, or it could mean that al-Wifaq’s leadership is losing control of 
its fringes and they are choosing more radical options to break the current impasse. If al- 
Wifaq’s membership or influence declines, the people could possibly be moving to more 
radical groups. 

2) Commanders need to abstain from making decisions that will make drastic 
changes in the Bahraini economy. Closing or reducing the size of the current base will 
cause changes in the local sectors of the economy that rely heavily on American 
consumers or contracts. Okinawa taught us that economic concerns can unite all levels of 
society regardless of social class. 


64 



3) Commanders need to continue policies that promote good order and discipline. 
This is essential in keeping social friction points from igniting. An incident of rape like 
the one in Okinawa can also have a uniting effect among the social classes. Should the 
elites decide to direct focus on an incident such as this, the two sects could unite against 
Americans no matter what sect the victim was in. 

4) Special attention is needed to security in the days surrounding the Formula One 
race. The race can provide an international stage to bring members to the opposition’s 
cause. Not only would an attack or large protests are visible, but also it would discredit 
the monarchy on the world stage while it hosts an event to help improve its image. 

D. IMPLICATIONS 

The fact that Bahrain appears to be at a stalemate should not bring a sense of 
comfort and security to commanders and policy makers. Bahrain is unique in that the 
U.S. military has not yet caused one of the three friction points to ignite, but that does not 
mean the situation is not volatile. Previous experiences with protests or violence in 
forward basing show us that anyone of these points poised to spark a significant protest 
or violence. Commanders need to be aware of the size and duration of protest that 
economic, military and social friction points can cause. We also need to be aware that 
anti-Americanism can play a role in internal politics to help draw undecided citizens into 
the conflict. Finally, commanders and policy makers also need to maintain an awareness 
of the opposition’s fringe actors as well as the strength and influence of the moderate 
leadership. If the impasse between the opposition and al-Khalifa monarchy continues, the 
U.S. may eventually find itself at the center of protest or other hostilities. 


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INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST 


1. Defense Technical Infonnation Center 
Ft. Belvoir, Virginia 

2. Dudley Knox Library 
Naval Postgraduate School 
Monterey, California 


71